The AGL share price sank 10% in February. What's next?

A poor half-year results sent AGL's shares crashing lower in February…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • AGL shares were sold off in February
  • Investors were hitting the sell button after its half-year results disappointed
  • One broker believes investors should wait for its shares to fall even further before buying

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price was a poor performer in February.

Over the period, the energy company's shares sank almost 10%.

Workers inspecting a gas pipeline.

Image source: Getty Images

What happened to the AGL share price?

Investors were quick to hit the sell button last month after AGL released its half-year results.

For the six months ended 31 December, AGL reported underlying net profit after tax of $87 million, which was a 55% decline on the prior corresponding period.

On a statutory basis, things were even worse. AGL reported a statutory loss after tax of $1.1 billion. This figure includes $706 million of impairment charges from the company's accelerated decarbonisation plans.

This poor half unsurprisingly led to AGL slashing its dividend by half to just 8 cents per share.

What's next?

One leading broker isn't confident that the AGL share price will rebound in March.

According to a note out of Morgans, its analysts believe investors should wait for a better entry point. In response to its results, the broker said:

Underlying net profit was down 55% on pcp, 60% on our forecast and 45% on Visible Alpha consensus. The key driver was a net $123m impact on the wholesale trading business from the tight winter conditions earlier in the half. This also drove a big miss on DPS with an interim dividend of only 8cps.

We anticipate increasing dividends as earnings begin to recover in the next 12 months however we think the market will want to see clear evidence of this before it regains confidence in the company and the sector.

Morgans has a hold rating and $6.89 price target on its shares. This compares to the latest AGL share price of $6.85.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

A man sitting at his desktop computer leans forward onto his elbows and yawns while he rubs his eyes as though he is very tired.
Energy Shares

Boss Energy shares tumble on guidance downgrade

This uranium producer has downgraded its production guidance for FY 2026.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Karoon Energy and Santos shares

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Karoon Energy and Santos shares.

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
Energy Shares

3 key takeaways from Woodside's first-quarter result

From strong asset reliability to improving pricing, this update highlights what is really driving performance beneath the surface.

Read more »

A service station attendant crosses his arms and smiles towards the camera with a backdrop of petrol bowsers and a drive-through facility.
Energy Shares

Ampol shares surge 50% to a two-year high: Buy, sell or hold?

Find out what upside analysts are tipping for Ampol shares next.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles.
Energy Shares

ASX 300 coal stock lifting off today on production rebound

The ASX coal miner is recovering strongly from a wet start to the new year.

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet.
Energy Shares

Up 40% in 2026: Why are Woodside shares charging higher today?

This energy giant outperformed expectations during the first quarter.

Read more »

An oil worker assesses productivity at an oil rig as ASX 200 energy shares continue to rise.
Energy Shares

Woodside Q1 2026 earnings: Revenue grows, Scarborough and Trion progress

Woodside's Q1 2026 earnings highlight rising revenue and project progress, with reliable energy operations amid challenging weather conditions.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Energy Shares

Should you buy, hold, or sell Beach Energy shares after its update?

Let's see what analysts think of this energy producer this week.

Read more »