Is the A2 Milk share price good value after its post-results selloff?

It has been a tough week for shareholders of this infant formula company…

| More on:
Young woman thinking with laptop open.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • A2 Milk shares have been sold off this week
  • This follows the release of the company's half year results
  • Morgans has given its verdict on the company's performance and outlook

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price has continued its slide on Tuesday.

In afternoon trade, the infant formula company's shares are down 3.5% to $6.26.

This means that A2 Milk's shares are now down 12% over the last two trading days.

Why is the A2 Milk share price being sold off?

Investors have been hitting the sell button this week in response to the company's half-year results release.

In case you missed it, for the six months ended 31 December, A2 Milk reported an 18.6% increase in revenue to NZ$783.3 million and a 22.1% jump in net profit after tax to NZ$68.5 million. The latter was comfortably ahead of the consensus estimate of NZ$60.6 million.

So why the selling? This appears to have been driven by commentary around the China market and its margins in the ANZ segment.

Morgans has been looking at the result and has given its verdict. It commented:

While management believes that A2M is very well positioned over the medium term, it was quite cautious on the China IF industry for 2023. It said A2M is moving into an increasingly challenging period, with headwinds including the rolling impact of five consecutive years of a decline in the birth rate and the market wide transition of CL [Chinese label] IF product to the new GB standard.

We remain concerned that the transition to the new GB standard may cause disruption to sales/pricing and create inventory risks (write-downs) between the timing of new and old product (consumers perceive the stock as not being fresh). Given this uncertainty, A2M's share price may be more volatile over this period.

And while Morgans believes that A2 Milk can achieve its FY 2026 sales targets, it has doubts over its ability to deliver on its margin goals. The broker adds:

A2M remains on track to achieve its ambition to grow sales to US$2bn by FY26. Management said that CL is tracking ahead of its target while EL, other nutritionals and emerging markets are a work in progress. Given EL (higher margin vs CL) is lagging and the business requires further investment, achieving an EBITDA margin of low-to-mid 20s now looks a stretch. A margin in the high teens now looks more achievable in this timeframe.

Morgans has retained its hold rating with a slightly improved price target of $6.45.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Young man sitting at a table in front of a row of pokie machines staring intently at a laptop. looking at the Crown Resorts share price
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Star shares rocketing 12% today?

The casino operator is betting on some big changes to position it for the future.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Wilsons Advisory names two quality cyclicals with good offshore earnings

Wilsons Advisory says value in cyclical stocks is to be found offshore, and has named two companies it says look…

Read more »

A man sitting at his desktop computer leans forward onto his elbows and yawns while he rubs his eyes as though he is very tired.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Treasury Wine shares crashing 17% today?

It goes from bad to worse for this fallen giant.

Read more »

Two men clink whisky glasses while sitting at a table.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Are these two struggling consumer staples shares a bargain?

These shares could be a buy-low opportunity.

Read more »

A man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

With rising costs, are Woolworths shares still a good buy today?

A leading investment expert offers his outlook for Woolworths shares.

Read more »

Part of male mannequin dressed in casual clothes holding a sale paper shopping bag.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Macquarie says these two ASX retail stocks are good buying at current levels

With further interest rate cuts off the table, picking retail winners might be just that little bit much harder, so…

Read more »

A happy couple drinking red wine in a vineyard.
Blue Chip Shares

What can investors expect from Treasury Wines' update tomorrow?

Tomorrow’s announcement is shaping up to be one of the most consequential updates in years for Treasury Wine Estates.

Read more »

A photo of a young couple who are purchasing fruits and vegetables at a market shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Buying Coles and Woolworths shares? Here's why the supermarkets are fuming over Chalmers' new law

Woolworths and Coles are less than pleased with Chalmers’ weekend announcement. Let's see why.

Read more »