Broker forecasts CBA share price to slide 15%

One expert has tipped the banking giant's stock to slide below $92.

| More on:
An unhappy man in a suit sits at his desk with his arms crossed staring at his laptop screen as the PointsBet share price falls

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The CBA share price is in the green today following a strong session for New York-listed banking giants on Friday
  • But the ASX 200 giant's future might not be so bright
  • One broker has tipped the CBA share price to fall nearly 15%

Monday is shaping up to be a strong session for S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) banks, with giant Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) among the gainers.

The sector's strong performance follows on from a similarly favourable Friday for Wall Street banks, driven by quarterly earnings from the United States' 'big four'.

However, the future could be less convincing for the Aussie institution, with one broker tipping CBA's stock to tumble close to 15%.

Right now, the CBA share price is $107.36. That's 0.81% higher than its previous close.

For comparison, the ASX 200 is up 0.66% right now while the S&P/ASX 200 Financial Index (ASX: XFJ) has gained 0.79%.

Let's take a closer look at what's going on with the banking giant today.

CBA share price gains despite bearish broker

The CBA share price is in the green on Monday after stock in the United States' 'big four banks' surged amid their quarterly earnings on Friday.

Shares in JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC), and Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C) gained between 1.7% to 3.3% in the final session of last week.

But, unfortunately, it's not all good news for ASX 200 banks today. The largest of the lot has reportedly been hit with a broker downgrade.

Jefferies has cut its outlook for CBA shares, slapping the stock with a $91.30 price target – a potential 14.8% downside, The Australian reports.

It comes after many of the New York-listed majors alluded to an upcoming recession in their latest earnings, putting aside extra cash to cushion the impact of a potential economic slowdown.

JPMorgan and Bank of America's earnings led the pack on Friday. The pair's quarterly profits lifted 6% and 1.4% respectively year-on-year to US$11 billion and US$7.1 billion.

Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's quarterly profit fell 50% to US$2.86 billion and that of Citigroup slumped 21% to US$2.5 billion.

Back home, the CBA share price is far from alone in the green on Monday. Here's how the remaining Aussie big four banks are performing in late morning trade:

  • Shares in National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) are up 0.96% at $31.60
  • The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is gaining 0.84% to reach $23.96
  • ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) stock is up 1.31%, trading at $24.81

Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Jefferies Financial Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Bank Shares

$5,000 in CBA shares at the start of 2025 is now worth…

Has Australia's largest bank delivered the goods for investors this year?

Read more »

Construction worker in hard hat pumps fist in front of high-rise buildings.
Resources Shares

Why this fundie is backing ASX mining shares over banks in 2026

Wilson Asset Management lead portfolio manager Matthew Haupt explains his views.

Read more »

Higher interest rates written on a yellow sign.
Broker Notes

How will interest rate hikes impact the big four ASX banks like CBA shares?

If the RBA hikes interest rates in 2026, what will that mean for ANZ, Westpac, NAB, and CBA shares?

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

Why is everyone talking about NAB shares on Friday?

NAB shares are grabbing ASX investor interest today. But why?

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Down 20% since November, are Bendigo Bank shares now a buy?

A leading investment expert delivers his outlook for Bendigo Bank shares.

Read more »

Woman holding $50 and $20 notes.
Bank Shares

$5,000 invested in Westpac shares at the start of 2025 is now worth….

The big 4 bank's shares have tumbled over the past month.

Read more »

Woman with money on the table and looking upwards.
Bank Shares

The CBA share price has fallen 19% since June, is it a buy?

Is this the right time to invest in the bank?

Read more »

Three small children reach up to hold a toy rocket high above their heads in a green field with a blue sky above them.
Bank Shares

Up 22% in a year! The red-hot ANZ share price is smashing CBA, Westpac and NAB shares

Why has the ANZ share price risen so much this year?

Read more »