Better buy for 2023: Westpac vs. ANZ shares

Which of these big banks is the best bet?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The shares of both Westpac and ANZ have low earnings multiples
  • They both have dividend yield of more than 8.25%
  • However, I'd pick Westpac because I'm uncertain about the per-share benefits of ANZ's Suncorp Bank acquisition

There are a number of ASX bank shares, but two of the major ones look like they could be considerably cheaper than Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA). I'm talking about Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares. Which is the better buy?

Aussies have plenty of banks to choose from on the ASX, but the biggest ones have scale advantages. ANZ and Westpac may seem fairly similar. How do they compare?

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.

Image source: Getty Images

Price/earnings ratio

One of the easiest ways to compare banks is to look at the earnings multiple that they are valued at. So let's start there.

However, it's worth noting that how a company calculates its profit can be different to another. The price-to-earnings (p/e) ratio may be one of the least-bad ways to compare companies.

According to CMC Markets, the ANZ share price is valued at 10x FY23's estimated earnings. The Westpac share price is priced at 11x FY23's estimated earnings. While there doesn't seem to be much in it between the two, it's worth noting that if ANZ shares traded at the same earnings multiple as Westpac, it would rise by around 10% to have a p/e ratio of 11.

Potential FY23 dividend yield

With how large the dividend yields of both of these ASX bank shares are, the investment income could form a large part of the return in the short term.

Using the estimates on CMC Markets, Westpac could pay a grossed-up dividend yield of 8.4% in FY23 and ANZ might pay a grossed-up dividend yield of 9.2%. It seems that ANZ is expected to pay a noticeably higher yield in FY23, though the variance may largely be down to the difference in earnings valuation.

My view on which ASX bank is a better buy, Westpac or ANZ shares

I think that Westpac is the simpler and better investment choice to go for. It's looking to cut costs, which will hopefully enable an improvement in profit.

But, ANZ has a lot going on. It's investing in its new digital banking platform ANZ Plus, and it aims to enable a better offering for customers and hopefully can achieve faster loan approvals for potential borrowers.

ANZ is wanting to buy the banking division of Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN), which would add useful extra scale to its business. But, how much value will it add to the business in per-share terms? I'm not sure it's going to be as good as management is hoping, particularly in an environment where bad debts could rise due to higher interest rates.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A team of people giving the thumbs up sign.
Bank Shares

3 reasons to buy ANZ shares today

I think the bank stock is a buy regardless of interest rate headwinds and broad market volatility.

Read more »

Smiling man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for NAB shares

Can NAB shareholders bank on dividend growth in the coming years?

Read more »

2 businessmen shaking hands, indicating a partnership deal and share price lift
Bank Shares

Bank of Queensland announces $3.7bn loan sale and capital partnership with Challenger

Bank of Queensland reveals strategic loan sale and capital partnership with Challenger.

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

What happened with ASX 200 bank stocks like CBA and Westpac in March?

Buying ANZ, NAB, Westpac or CBA shares? Here’s what happened with the big four banks in the war-addled month of…

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Bank Shares

This is the only ASX bank stock I'd keep in my portfolio

I think this is the only ASX bank stock which will storm higher this year.

Read more »

A businesswoman in a suit and holding a briefcase marches higher as she steps from one stack of coins to the next.
Bank Shares

Why experts think this ASX bank share can rise 58% in a year!

This bank has a lot of growth potential, according to experts.

Read more »

A group of five people dressed in black business suits scrabble in a flurry of banknotes that are whirling around them, some in the air, others on the ground as some of them bend to pick up the money.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for CBA shares

CBA could deliver impressive dividends in the next few years.

Read more »

A wad of $100 bills of Australian currency lies stashed in a bird's nest.
Dividend Investing

How many NAB shares do I need to buy for $10,000 a year in passive income?

NAB shares historically pay two fully-franked dividends every year.

Read more »