The Sayona Mining share price went backwards in November. What now?

The ASX lithium company expects to increase production next year.

Key points
  • The Sayona share price slipped 2.13% in November while the wider materials sector rallied
  • Its decline comes amid some macro headwinds reported in China, which intensified near the end of last month
  • Sayona expects to start producing lithium from its North American Lithium (NAL) operations in Canada in the first quarter of next year 

The Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) share price delivered an unimpressive performance in November.

Shares in the ASX lithium company opened at 23.5 cents each on 1 November and closed lower at 23 cents a share at the end of the month for a 2.13% loss.

By comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) had a spectacular month in November. The index climbed 16.23% for the month.

And more broadly, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) also made a 6.13% gain over the same period.

Currently, Sayona shares are going for 22.7 cents apiece, a 1.3% drop on yesterday's closing price.

Let's take a look at what the last month held for Sayona and where it might be headed.

A man wearing a hard hat stands in front of heavy mining machinery with a serious look on his face.

Image source: Getty Images

What happened to Sayona in November?

Recently, the Motley Fool reported that lithium shares, like Sayona, could be suffering from reduced demand for battery materials in China. This comes amid COVID lockdowns and protests in the country causing operational disruptions in the manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs).

As noted by my colleague Monica O'Shea, there could potentially be an oversupply of batteries for EVs in China by 2025. Both of these headwinds could have weighed on Sayona's share price near the end of the month.

Another development was Sayona issuing 185 million new shares to the market on 18 November. The company said it would use the funds to acquire an additional 1,824 exploration claims near its 60%-owned Moblan lithium project in Canada.

As well as acquiring an extra 985 kilometres of land for exploration, Sayona announced it would also be buying a 9.26% stake in the seller, the Canadian-listed Troilus Gold Corp.

What's next?

In other news for the month, Sayona announced that it has made progress in the restart of its North American Lithium (NAL) operations in Quebec, Canada. The company expects to start producing lithium from the site in the first quarter of next year.

Yet it seems experts are split on the broader outlook for lithium producers such as Sayona.

Global Lithium LLC founder and president Joe Lowry recently predicted that the price of lithium hydroxide could reach USD $100,000 per tonne. That's well up from the US $85,000 per tonne it's fetching at the time of writing. The strong demand for electric vehicles was said to be a tailwind that could further lift the price of lithium hydroxide.

However, Schroders head of Australian equities Martin Conlon believes that even the current lithium prices are "vastly higher than needed to incentivise new supply and are therefore difficult to rationalise on any fundamental basis".

It appears Conlon believes lithium is presently overvalued and could be due for a downside correction.

Motley Fool contributor Matthew Farley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Woman looking at data on her laptop.
Resources Shares

Deep Yellow updates on Tumas project progress, delays FID

Deep Yellow delays Tumas project FID but reports steady construction progress and new contracts in its October 2026 update.

Read more »

Happy woman looking at her laptop.
Resources Shares

PLS Group to invest $650m in Pilgangoora upgrades to fuel growth

PLS Group reveals a $650m investment to enhance Pilgangoora infrastructure and drive long-term operational value.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Resources Shares

Should you buy Evolution Mining and Rio Tinto shares?

Analysts have given their verdict on these popular shares.

Read more »

Woman on her phone with a view of the Sydney Harbour Bridge in the background.
Resources Shares

Champion Iron posts $403.9 million Q2 FY2027 revenue in preliminary results

Champion Iron posted Q2 FY2027 revenue of $403.9 million and sold 4.5 million tonnes of iron ore concentrate.

Read more »

Three satisfied miners with their arms crossed looking at the camera proudly.
Resources Shares

Own ASX mining shares? Official forecasts show commodity prices peaking in FY27

Here are the annual average price predictions for iron ore, copper, gold, lithium, and others.

Read more »

Mining vehicle at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Global miner Glencore has just joined the ASX. So what's it worth?

Canaccord Genuity says this miner's shares could head north.

Read more »

Two people wearing hard hats talking with each other at a mine site, with two workers in the background.
Resources Shares

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy following its Q3 update?

I take a closer look at what the miner's latest operating progress means for investors.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Resources Shares

Evolution Mining lifts cash flow and holds full year guidance in September quarter

Evolution Mining maintained full year guidance and delivered strong cash flow in the September 2026 quarter.

Read more »