Why did the Origin share price rocket 41% in November?

This energy share was on fire in November…

| More on:
A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) share price was among the best performers on the Australian share market in November.

Over the period, the energy company's shares rose an impressive 41.1%.

This compares favourably to the ASX 200 index, which rose 6.1% over the period.

Why did the Origin share price smash the market?

Investors were buying Origin's shares last month after the company received a takeover approach.

Origin received an indicative, conditional, and non-binding proposal from Brookfield Asset Management and MidOcean Energy to acquire the company for $9.00 cash per share. This valued the company at $18.4 billion on an enterprise value basis.

Based on the Origin share price at the time, this represented a sizeable 54.9% premium for investors.

Origin revealed that this was the third bid the company had received from Brookfield Asset Management and MidOcean Energy. It had been in talks since August and had rejected previous offers of $7.95 cash per share in August and $8.70 to $8.90 per share in September.

It seems that $9.00 per share was on the money, with the Origin board revealing that it would be prepared to accept the offer and recommend it to shareholders if it becomes binding.

As a result, the company granted Brookfield Asset Management and MidOcean Energy due diligence access.

What's next?

With the Origin share price trading at $7.95, this represents an 11.7% discount to the offer price.

This appears to indicate that the market is somewhat sceptical that the deal will complete.

This may be due to the various hurdles the deal will have to overcome for completion. These include regulatory approvals such as Foreign Investment Board Review (FIRB) approval.

Credit Suisse commented on this, saying:

Foreign Investment Review Board hurdles loom large for proposed acquisitions of this nature, and the Government could use its approvals leverage to extract concessions on domestic gas prices.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Dividend Investing

Invest $10,000 in New Hope shares and get $1,006 in passive income

Many ASX investors buy New Hope shares for their high yielding, fully franked dividends.

Read more »

a man in a business suit looks at a map of the world above a line up of oil barrels with a red arrow heading upwards above them, indicting rising oil prices.
Energy Shares

Why a US$100 oil price is on the horizon: IMF

A higher oil price could be on the horizon following this IMF prediction and Israel’s reported strike on Iran.

Read more »

A miner in visibility gear and hard hat looks seriously at an iPad device in a field where oil mining equipment is visible in the background.
Energy Shares

Why is this ASX 200 energy stock crashing 8% today?

Why are investors hitting the sell button on Friday?

Read more »

sad looking petroleum worker standing next to oil drill
Energy Shares

Woodside share price tumbles on 12% quarterly revenue decline

ASX 200 investors are bidding down the Woodside share price today.

Read more »

Worker inspecting oil and gas pipeline.
Opinions

Here's where I see the Woodside share price ending 2024

I think the Woodside share price is poised for a 2024 rebound.

Read more »

A male oil and gas mechanic wearing a white hardhat walks along a steel platform above a series of gas pipes in a gas plant
Energy Shares

Here's how the Santos share price is responding to today's production results

Santos reported its quarterly production and revenue results today.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Energy Shares

Should you buy the 10% dip on this ASX 300 uranium stock?

Could big returns be on the cards for buyers of this stock? Let's see what analysts are saying.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Broker Notes

1 ASX 200 energy stock with 'minimal competition' to buy right now

This stock is trading 30% lower than its 2022 record high.

Read more »