BHP beat you to Oz Minerals? Buy this ASX 200 copper share instead: fundie

The copper stock could be trading at half of its fair value.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The market's largest copper miner looks set to be snapped up by BHP
  • The iron ore giant's increased bid was accepted by Oz Minerals last week
  • Fortunately, fellow ASX 200 copper stock Sandfire Resources looks like a winner, according to this fundie

Copper has been in the spotlight in 2022, alongside other future-facing commodities like lithium and nickel. Particularly, following BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP)'s takeover bid for S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) copper share Oz Minerals Limited (ASX: OZL).

The iron ore giant put forward a $28.25 per share "best and final" offer for its copper counterpart earlier this week. Oz Minerals has accepted the bid.

While that might be great news for those invested in the takeover target – the offer represents a 49% premium to its last undisturbed share price – it's likely disappointing for those looking to snap up long-term copper investments. Right now, the Oz Minerals share price is just 3% lower than BHP's bid.

Indeed, Shaw and Partners senior resource analyst Peter O'Connor, speaking with Market Matters' James Gerrish, recently commented:

Everyone wants to be in copper but there's so few copper equities.

Fortunately, the expert has another copper miner in their sights. Let's take a look at the other ASX 200 copper share O'Connor believes is trading at around half of its fair value.

ASX 200 copper share tipped a winner

O'Connor has dubbed Oz Minerals a "dead duck", continuing:

For all intents and purposes, Oz is no longer trading … if you want to see a 3% return, fine, but if you want to get a return better you need to look elsewhere.

Instead, he is bullish on "international, large-scale, long-life target" Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR).

The $2 billion copper miner has been on a journey over the last few years. It's been working on its Motheo project in Botswana and recently snapped up Spain's MATSA mining complex.

And just in time. Mining activities ceased at its Western Australian DeGrussa copper mine last month.

Beyond that, the ASX 200 copper miner's share price recently soared on news of a new CEO, set to take the reins in April. Additionally, Sandfire upgraded its financial year 2023 guidance in September.

Beyond Sandfire, there might be excitement among the market's smaller copper stocks in the near future. O'Connor tipped consolidation among emerging copper miners in the coming years.  

Sandfire Resources share price snapshot

The Sandfire share price is down 25% this year to date. However, it soared 44% in November.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Materials Shares

Are BHP shares a buy following the miner's quarterly update?

Is now the time to buy this mining giant's shares? Let's see what Goldman Sachs is saying.

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Materials Shares

Pilbara Minerals share price tumbles on quarterly update

How did the lithium giant perform during the third quarter?

Read more »

A man in a business suit looks at a gold phone with his head in an exploding cloud of gold dust.
Materials Shares

Glitter up: Which ASX shares are commodities prices shining on in 2024?

Commodity prices have surged in 2024 driven by safe-haven demands and green technology needs.

Read more »

A female worker in a hard hat smiles in an oil field.
Materials Shares

Should you buy Rio Tinto shares following its quarterly update?

Let's see what analysts are saying about the mining giant.

Read more »

A male lion with a large mane sits atop a rocky mountain outcrop surveying the view, representing the outlook for the Liontown share price in FY23
Materials Shares

Where will Liontown shares be in 3 years?

Can this stock recharge investor excitement?

Read more »

A man checks his phone next to an electric vehicle charging station with his electric vehicle parked in the charging bay.
Materials Shares

2 of the best ASX 200 lithium stocks to buy now

Analysts speak very highly about these lithium miners.

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Materials Shares

Why this ASX battery materials stock could rocket 60%

Bell Potter is tipping this stock to have a bright future.

Read more »

A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.
Materials Shares

Why today is a good day to own Rio Tinto shares

This miner's shareholders have reason to smile this morning.

Read more »