BHP beat you to Oz Minerals? Buy this ASX 200 copper share instead: fundie

The copper stock could be trading at half of its fair value.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The market's largest copper miner looks set to be snapped up by BHP
  • The iron ore giant's increased bid was accepted by Oz Minerals last week
  • Fortunately, fellow ASX 200 copper stock Sandfire Resources looks like a winner, according to this fundie

Copper has been in the spotlight in 2022, alongside other future-facing commodities like lithium and nickel. Particularly, following BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP)'s takeover bid for S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) copper share Oz Minerals Limited (ASX: OZL).

The iron ore giant put forward a $28.25 per share "best and final" offer for its copper counterpart earlier this week. Oz Minerals has accepted the bid.

While that might be great news for those invested in the takeover target – the offer represents a 49% premium to its last undisturbed share price – it's likely disappointing for those looking to snap up long-term copper investments. Right now, the Oz Minerals share price is just 3% lower than BHP's bid.

Indeed, Shaw and Partners senior resource analyst Peter O'Connor, speaking with Market Matters' James Gerrish, recently commented:

Everyone wants to be in copper but there's so few copper equities.

Fortunately, the expert has another copper miner in their sights. Let's take a look at the other ASX 200 copper share O'Connor believes is trading at around half of its fair value.

ASX 200 copper share tipped a winner

O'Connor has dubbed Oz Minerals a "dead duck", continuing:

For all intents and purposes, Oz is no longer trading … if you want to see a 3% return, fine, but if you want to get a return better you need to look elsewhere.

Instead, he is bullish on "international, large-scale, long-life target" Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR).

The $2 billion copper miner has been on a journey over the last few years. It's been working on its Motheo project in Botswana and recently snapped up Spain's MATSA mining complex.

And just in time. Mining activities ceased at its Western Australian DeGrussa copper mine last month.

Beyond that, the ASX 200 copper miner's share price recently soared on news of a new CEO, set to take the reins in April. Additionally, Sandfire upgraded its financial year 2023 guidance in September.

Beyond Sandfire, there might be excitement among the market's smaller copper stocks in the near future. O'Connor tipped consolidation among emerging copper miners in the coming years.  

Sandfire Resources share price snapshot

The Sandfire share price is down 25% this year to date. However, it soared 44% in November.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Glencore is thinking about listing on the ASX. Is this an opportunity for investors?

One of the world’s biggest miners wants a slice of the ASX.

Read more »

A man in a hard hat and high visibility vest speaks on his mobile phone in front of a digging machine with a heavy dump truck vehicle also visible in the background.
Materials Shares

Tivan appoints advisor for Speewah Fluorite Project finance update

Tivan appoints ICA Natural Resources to advise on project finance for the Speewah Fluorite Project, advancing funding and feasibility work.

Read more »

Man analysing data on his laptop.
Materials Shares

$10,000 invested in Rio Tinto shares 12 months ago is now worth…

Most investors know Rio Tinto for income. I suspect fewer expected a $10,000 investment to move this quickly.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Materials Shares

BHP's copper guidance surprise: what does this mean for BHP shares

A soft copper number, but a much stronger balance sheet.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Materials Shares

Are Fortescue shares a buy in August?

The headline dividend yield looks tempting. But what caught my attention was how quickly the income could fall after FY26.

Read more »

Man with his head on his head with a red declining arrow and A worried man holds his head and look at his computer as the Megaport share price crashes today
Share Fallers

Down 43%! What on earth happened with Liontown shares in July?

Investors pummelled Liontown shares in July. Time to buy?

Read more »

American flag next to United States Capitol building.
Materials Shares

IperionX eyes U.S. redomiciliation and board boost for American titanium push

The company is planning to make its shares more accessible to U.S. investors by listing on the Nasdaq.

Read more »

a man in a snappy business suit looks disappointed as he counts bank notes in his hand.
Materials Shares

Elevra Lithium issues C$65m convertible notes to fund NAL expansion

Proceeds earmarked for North American Lithium Brownfield Expansion and enhanced liquidity.

Read more »