Do Medibank shares now represent a buying opportunity?

Medibank has said it will not meet any ransom demands, which has seen the hackers begin to publish sensitive stolen customer data.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Medibank shares have fallen 21% since the company's October data breach
  • Stake reports its customers have seen this as a buying opportunity
  • At the current share price, the ASX 200 health insurer pays a trailing dividend yield of 4.8%

Medibank Private Ltd (ASX: MPL) shares have come under considerable selling pressure following the company's massive data breach last month.

On 26 October, when the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) private health insurer emerged from a multi-day trading halt, shares plunged 18.1% over the day.

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.

Image source: Getty Images

What's going on with the data breach?

In a nutshell, hackers — apparently Russian-based — stole sensitive data from 9.7 million of Medibank's former and current clients. That data includes customer names, dates of birth, addresses, phone numbers and email addresses.

The cybercriminals also accessed health claims data for approximately 480,000 customers.

Earlier this week, the healthcare stock said it would not cave into any ransom demands from the hackers, which saw Medibank shares rise on the day.

The hackers responded by threatening to publish all of the customer data on the dark web. A threat they began to follow through with yesterday.

Do Medibank shares now represent a buying opportunity?

Medibank shares remain down 21% since the company exited its trading halt on 26 October.

So, is it a buying opportunity?

Eliot Hastie, markets analyst at Australian brokerage platform Stake, said that for the platform's clients, the answer looks to be yes.

"Stake customers have seen this as a buying opportunity, with a 1,426% increase in buys last month, suggesting that many are still positive about Medibank's long-term outlook," he said. "In fact, Medibank saw the biggest change from sales to buys of all Australian stocks in October when compared to September."

According to Hastie:

Cyber security incidents often cause an instant hard shock to a share price, but strong companies have generally been able to recover over the long term. That said, there's no way of knowing the true consequences of Medibank's current breach.

There has been a suggestion of a class action lawsuit, which could affect the share price over a longer period, but this situation is still developing, and its impact is yet to be seen.

If you're considering investing in Medibank shares, there's also the potential income stream to keep in mind.

As at yesterday's closing share price of $2.77, Medibank pays a trailing dividend yield of 4.8%, fully franked.

How have Medibank shares been tracking in 2022?

The Medibank share price was in the green, significantly outperforming the ASX 200 over the calendar year, right up until the big selloff on 26 October. That selling now sees Medibank shares down 19% in 2022, compared to an 8% loss posted by the benchmark index.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

A woman scratches her head, thinking is this a no-brainer?
Healthcare Shares

Does this ASX 200 stock's fall make it a no-brainer buy?

Despite a major transformation, this stock is down more than 20%. Is this an opportunity?

Read more »

Scientist looking at a laptop thinking about the share price performance.
Healthcare Shares

ASX 200 healthcare shares down 33% in a year as heavyweights hit multi-year lows

Eight of the 10 largest healthcare shares are trading at or close to multi-year or 52-week lows.

Read more »

Stock market chart in green with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Healthcare Shares

Up 2,075% in a year, why is the 4DMedical share price rocketing again on Friday?

Investors just sent 4DMedical shares surging another 20% on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Healthcare Shares

Buy, hold, sell: What is Ord Minnett saying about this popular ASX 200 stock?

Here's what the broker is saying about this stock.

Read more »

A man in a shirt and tie looks to the horizon holding his hand above his eyes as if to shield the sun so he can see better.
Healthcare Shares

Why is everyone talking about 4DX shares this week?

It's all eyes on the healthcare stock this week.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face.
Healthcare Shares

$10,000 invested in this ASX healthcare share a year ago is now worth $36,500

This stock has experienced a dramatic price increase.

Read more »

A male doctor and a woman in scrubs in the foreground smile.
Healthcare Shares

The ASX healthcare stocks with the biggest upside according to brokers

These two healthcare stocks could be value buys.

Read more »

Cropped shot of a young female scientist working on her computer in the laboratory.
Healthcare Shares

Here's one reason why experts think the CSL share price can rise 65%!

There’s more than one reason why experts are excited by the potential of CSL.

Read more »