3 reasons the BHP share price is in the buy zone: Goldman Sachs

Here's why BHP shares could be a buy…

| More on:
A man in a business suit and tie places three wooden blocks with the numbers 1, 2 and 3 on them on top of each other on a table. representing the most traded ASX 200 shares by volume today

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is underperforming on Thursday.

In early afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are down slightly to $39.52.

This compares unfavourably to the ASX 200 index, which is currently up by 0.4%.

Where next for the BHP share price?

The good news for investors is that one leading broker believes the BHP share price could be heading higher from here.

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs from this week, it has a buy rating and $43.50 price target on the Big Australian's shares.

This implies potential upside of 10% from current levels for investors over the next 12 months.

And if you include the ~6% fully franked dividend yield that the broker is expecting, this potential return stretches to 16%.

Three reasons to invest

Goldman has named three key reasons why it is bullish on the BHP share price.

The first is its relative valuation. The broker believes that BHP's quality means that it should continue to trade at a premium to its global peers. It explained:

Relative valuation: BHP to continue trading at a premium to global mining peers (~0.5x premium to global mining peers over 10-yrs) which we believe can be maintained.

Another reason for its positive stance is the miner's copper operations, which have huge growth potential. It commented:

~US$20bn copper pipeline to drive production growth and value: BHP's major opportunity (and challenge) is offsetting copper reserve depletion and grade decline through investing in copper reserves/resources (largest globally).

Finally, the third reason is the company's strong free cash flow generation and attractive dividend outlook. It concludes:

Attractive FCF and capital returns outlook: BHP is trading on an attractive FCF/DPS yield of c. 5%/6% over the next 12-m. BHP's minerals capex increasing to US$8-9bn by mid-decade (but below peer RIO at US$9-10bn).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man in trendy clothing sits on a bench in a shopping mall looking at his phone with interest and a surprised look on his face.
Materials Shares

Dirt cheap! Why Lynas shares could rise 18%

Bell Potter sees a lot of value in this rare earths miner's shares.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Materials Shares

Why Fortescue shares could crash 30%

One leading broker believes this mining giant's shares are severely overvalued.

Read more »

Man holding a calculator with Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Materials Shares

Here's the Pilbara Minerals dividend forecast through to 2028

Let's see what analysts are predicting for this lithium giant's dividends.

Read more »

A man wearing glasses and a white t-shirt pumps his fists in the air looking excited and happy about the rising OBX share price
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX lithium stock is rocketing 15% on big news

Why are investors buying this lithium share on Wednesday?

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Mineral Resources share price tumbles amid ongoing lithium price weakness

ASX 200 investors are bidding down the Mineral Resources share price on Wednesday.

Read more »

A group of three men in hard hats and high visibility vests stand together at a mine site while one points and the others look on with piles of dirt and mining equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Fortescue share price tumbles on Q3 disappoinment

How did this iron ore giant perform during the third quarter?

Read more »

Australian notes and coins symbolising dividends.
Materials Shares

BHP is paying $2.30 per share in dividends. Time to buy the stock?

Do analysts think the Big Australian is a buy?

Read more »

Man on a laptop thinking.
Materials Shares

Are Core Lithium shares dirt cheap or overvalued?

This lithium miner's shares have lost 84% of their value over the last 12 months.

Read more »