Why Warren Buffett thinks it's a mistake to dump your stocks in a bear market

Being out of the stock market may seem safer right now, but it is far from a risk-free strategy.

| More on:
Model bear in front of falling line graph, cheap stocks, cheap ASX shares

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The S&P 500 is down 24% this year, and the stock market hasn't been a great place to be holding your money of late. Investors have been dumping stocks left and right, with many quality companies seeing their valuations plummet as interest rate increases and rising inflation have made people second-guess their investments.

But before you follow suit and decide to dump all of your stocks and hold cash or pivot to bonds, you should consider Warren Buffett's advice, and why getting out of the stock market right now could be a costly mistake.

Buffett believes it's always favorable to remain invested

Warren Buffett isn't a fan of economic projections, or what he refers to as "dancing" in and out of stocks based solely on economic outlooks. And in a Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting in 2015, he said that "we think any company that has an economist has one employee too many."

Buffett is an investor who has remained invested for decades, all the while experiencing the effects of inflation, recessions, wars, and no shortage of crashes along the way. He believes that "the risks of being out of the game are huge compared to the risks of being in it." And the game he's referring to -- investing -- is favorable in the long run. Another popular investor, Peter Lynch, agrees with that notion, saying that "people who exit the stock market to avoid a decline are odds-on favorites to miss the next rally."

Given that the stock market has always recovered from every decline, history should serve as an important reminder to investors that there's always light at the end of the tunnel. 

Investors should focus on fundamentals rather than forecasts

The key takeaway for investors is to invest in businesses that will do well in the long run, and to not worry about economic projections or what the experts think will happen. There are too many variables to factor in regarding where the economy may go, and the simpler option is to focus on a business itself.

One example of a company that could make for a great long-term investment is drugmaker AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV), which has solid financials and a path to more growth. Revenue of $56.2 billion last year was 72% higher than the $32.8 billion the company generated in 2018. Profits during that time doubled to $11.5 billion. And over the trailing 12 months, the company has generated free cash flow of more than $22 billion.

AbbVie's acquisition of Botox-maker Allergan a few years ago has diversified its business; Botox cosmetic sales rose 19% in its most recent quarter (ended June 30). Its high-growth products Skyrizi and Rinvoq both generated sales growth in excess of 50% during the quarter and should make up for declines in revenue from top-selling drug Humira, which begins losing exclusivity as early as next year.

Combined with its high-yielding dividend that pays 4.2%, AbbVie is the type of stock that you might expect to perform well in the long run, regardless of the economic situation. Its financials are strong, and the business is well-diversified.

Another stock with strong fundamentals to consider is Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE). The tech company sells popular software products, including photo-editing program Adobe Photoshop, on a recurring subscription basis. Its products are top of the line and essential to many professionals involved in web design and photography.

However, the stock recently nosedived after announcing lacklustre earnings numbers where sales rose by 13% to $4.4 billion. That's modest growth for a company that earlier this year commanded a hefty price-to-earnings multiple of more than 50 (now it's down to less than 30). Last month, it also announced a seemingly expensive $20 billion acquisition of Figma, a company that focuses on creating web applications for collaborating on web design projects.

With Adobe's stock now near 52-week lows, it could present an attractive buying opportunity for investors. The company may have carved out a new growth avenue for its business, focusing more on collaboration -- while also becoming a cheaper investment. Adobe has generated more than $7 billion in free cash flow over the trailing 12 months, and it is in a solid position to pursue more opportunities as they come up. In the long run, this can be another great stock to buy and hold.

Buying and holding could pay off, now more than ever

AbbVie and Adobe are just two examples of promising growth stocks to own for the long haul, but there are many other options out there that investors can load up on today. While there could still be declines in the months ahead for stocks, there's also the possibility of an eventual rally that could make holding on to your investments a great decision.

As long as you don't need to take the money out, keeping it invested in stocks with strong fundamentals could be a move you thank yourself for later on.   

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Adobe Inc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2024 $420 calls on Adobe Inc. and short January 2024 $430 calls on Adobe Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Adobe Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
International Stock News

With Warren Buffett stepping down as CEO, will Berkshire Hathaway sell Apple stock?

Or will it find something else to invest in? Let's take a look.

Read more »

Man on his laptop standing next to data centres.
International Stock News

History says now is the time to buy Nvidia stock

History doesn't normally repeat itself, but it often rhymes.

Read more »

Woman relaxing and using her Apple device
International Stock News

16 words from Warren Buffett that should have Apple stock investors excited

Let's see what Buffett had to say and what it means for investors.

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert and owner of Berkshire Hathaway Warren Buffett
International Stock News

Prediction: Warren Buffett may be shifting out of his Berkshire Hathaway CEO role, but he's not done investing

Let's take a closer look at what may be ahead.

Read more »

A woman sits in a cafe wearing a polka dotted shirt and holding a latte in one hand while reading something on a laptop that is sitting on the table in front of her
International Stock News

Here's why I'm not too worried for Alphabet despite Apple's potential new AI-powered Safari search

Investors panicked when the possibility was floated, but take a step back and look at the bigger picture.

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.
International Stock News

Should you buy Nvidia before May 19?

Nvidia has been firing on all cylinders, and we may have a chance to hear more about this top AI…

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
International Stock News

Should investors be concerned about Berkshire Hathaway's record $348 billion cash position and third consecutive quarter of no stock buybacks?

Here's what the treasure trove of cash and lack of buybacks signal, and if Berkshire is still an excellent value…

Read more »

Woman in business suit holds both hands out with a question mark above each hand.
International Stock News

AMD vs. Nvidia: Which artificial intelligence stock should you buy on the dip?

Which of these two chip stocks is the better option right now?

Read more »