Could the current Woolworths dividend be in jeopardy?

We've asked the question based on the numbers.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Woolworths continued another steady year of capital return to shareholders
  • The dividend has been volatile in recent years, and with free cash flows dwindling this year, could this mean a risk?
  • The Woolworths share price has slipped more than 8% into the red this year to date

Shares of Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) have been cyclical these past 12 months, having entered and exited a number of peaks and troughs.

Woolworths had also narrowed its dividend payment earlier in 2022. Although upped its final dividend to 53 cents per share (cps). This brought the FY22 payment to 92cps.

However, what's the health score of Woolworths' dividend, and is it in jeopardy of continuing?

A woman sits on her lounge in front of her laptop looking concerned.

Image source: Getty Images

Coverage potentially at risk?

Woolworths increased its full-year payout by around 1.1% on the previous year. It currently trades on a trailing yield of 2.65%.

The total amount paid for the FY22 dividend is expected to be just over $1 billion. And there's also the option for investors to participate in the company's dividend reinvestment plan.

However, it's relevant to know that Woolworths also converted around the same amount in free cash flow (FCF) for the 12 months to 26 June 2022.

Judging from these numbers, it might appear the sustainability of the Woolworths dividend might be at risk.

However, as dividend investors, one critical piece of information we need to obtain is the company's dividend policy. That is, where does it pay dividends from?

This is relevant as some companies choose to pay dividends from profits, whilst others choose to do it from cash flows.

Where does Woolworths pay its dividend from?

Looking at the latter, the conglomerate paid around 115% of its free cash flow in dividends for FY22.

Thankfully, Woolworths doesn't pay dividends from this pile of cash earnings.

According to its annual report, the company says that "[d]ividends are distributions of the group's profit after tax before significant items and assets to its shareholders".

That means it pays dividends from its profit 'pile', versus the remaining free cash it has after obligations.

In that vein, the payout is well covered. Approximately 72.5% of the payout figure is covered by the $1.55 billion in after-tax earnings Woolworths booked in FY22.

Despite this, there's one disadvantage of covering the dividend payout figure from profits versus cash flow, and that's the volatility in dividend payment and yield that can result.

We've seen this in the food and retail giant's dividend stream over the past few years, coming off a high of $1.39 in FY15, and remaining lumpy since.

Meanwhile, the Woolworths share price has slipped more than 8% into the red this year to date.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

Australian notes and coins symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to snap up this 10.75% ASX dividend yield?

This company combines a huge yield with many other positive attributes.

Read more »

A young woman in a red polka-dot dress holds an old-fashioned green telephone set in one hand and raises the phone to her ear.
Dividend Investing

What's happening with Telstra's dividend?

Telstra's dividend is looking a little different in 2026.

Read more »

Invest written on a notepad with Australian dollar notes and piggybank.
Dividend Investing

1 incredibly cheap ASX dividend growth stock to buy now and hold for decades

Dicker Data offers steady dividends and exposure to growing IT spending.

Read more »

A couple lying down and laughing, symbolising passive income.
Dividend Investing

5 ASX dividend shares to hold for the next decade

Looking for long-term income? Here are five shares to consider.

Read more »

an older couple look happy as they sit at a laptop computer in their home.
Dividend Investing

3 ASX dividend shares to buy with $5,000

Wanting income? These shares could be worth considering right now.

Read more »

Person holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Passive income: How much would I need to invest in ASX shares to earn $1,000 every month?

Passive income is every investor's dream.

Read more »

A man points at a paper as he holds an alarm clock, indicating the ex-dividend date is approaching.
Dividend Investing

2 ASX dividend shares raising dividends like clockwork

In an uncertain time, growing payouts can be reassuring.

Read more »

A businesswoman on the phone is shocked as she looks at her watch, she's running out of time.
Dividend Investing

32 ASX shares about to go ex-dividend

Time is running out if you want to buy these ASX shares to receive their next dividends.

Read more »