Wesfarmers shares: Buy, hold, or fold?

One broker has tipped a near-20% upside for the Wesfarmers share price.

| More on:
A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Wesfarmers share price has had a rough trot through 2022 so far
  • One top broker tips its suffering has brought about a buying opportunity
  • Though, not all experts are in agreement over the stock's outlook

The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price has trailed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) through 2022 so far. But does its underperformance leave it squarely in the buy basket?

Well, that depends on who you ask. However, one broker has tipped a near-20% upside for the stock.

The Wesfarmers share price last traded at $46.45, having plunged 4.25% alongside the majority of the market yesterday. That leaves the stock 22.6% lower than it was at the start of the year.

For comparison, the ASX 200 has dived 10% year to date.

Let's take a look at what experts are tipping for the mammoth retail-focused conglomerate's stock.

Is now the time to snap up Wesfarmers shares?

Brokers and fundies offer mixed opinions when it comes to predicting the future of the Wesfarmers share price.

Battling for the bears is Alto Capital's Tony Locantro. He pointed to the company's full-year earnings, noting its "strong share price amid economic headwinds" appears to represent a "profit-taking opportunity", courtesy of The Bull.

The company's after-tax profits slumped 1.2%, or 2.9% excluding significant items, last financial year to $2.35 billion as many of its crown jewel retail businesses struggled.

While Bunnings boasted $2.2 billion of pre-tax earnings – a 0.9% year-on-year increase – those of Kmart Group fell nearly 40% to $418 million and Officeworks' dropped close to 15% to $181 million amid lockdowns in the first half.

On top of that, Wesfarmers declared a $1 dividend, boosting its full-year offerings 1.1% year-on-year to $1.80 per share.

Goldman Sachs is also sceptical of the company's future. It has a sell rating and a $38.70 price target on the stock.

Meanwhile, in the bullish corner is broker Morgans. Analyst Alex Lu said the company's earnings were "comfortably above expectations" in August.

Morgans has also dubbed Wesfarmers' businesses "one of the highest quality retail portfolios in Australia", as my Fool colleague James reports. The broker continued:

We see the pullback in the share price as a good entry point for longer term investors.

It has slapped Wesfarmers shares with a $55.60 price target and an add rating ­– representing a potential 19.69% upside.

Meanwhile, UBS has a buy rating and a $55 price target on the stock.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 50%

Big returns could be on the cards for owners of these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 100 stock can rise 14% to a new 52-week high

Goldman Sachs thinks investors should be buying this top stock now.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Goldman says buy this ASX 200 share for a 14% annual return

This overlooked stock could be a good option for investors according to the broker.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies is closely with large wine barrels in the background, stored in a brick walled wine cellar.
Broker Notes

2 undervalued ASX 200 shares with 'significant catalysts ahead'

We reveal the ASX 200 coal and wine stocks that this fund manager has selected for additional investment.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Broker Notes

1 ASX 200 energy stock with 'minimal competition' to buy right now

This stock is trading 30% lower than its 2022 record high.

Read more »

happy investor, share price rise, increase, up
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 25% to 50%

Analysts believe these shares could deliver big returns for investors.

Read more »