Wesfarmers shares: Buy, hold, or fold?

One broker has tipped a near-20% upside for the Wesfarmers share price.

| More on:
A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Wesfarmers share price has had a rough trot through 2022 so far
  • One top broker tips its suffering has brought about a buying opportunity
  • Though, not all experts are in agreement over the stock's outlook

The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price has trailed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) through 2022 so far. But does its underperformance leave it squarely in the buy basket?

Well, that depends on who you ask. However, one broker has tipped a near-20% upside for the stock.

The Wesfarmers share price last traded at $46.45, having plunged 4.25% alongside the majority of the market yesterday. That leaves the stock 22.6% lower than it was at the start of the year.

For comparison, the ASX 200 has dived 10% year to date.

Let's take a look at what experts are tipping for the mammoth retail-focused conglomerate's stock.

Is now the time to snap up Wesfarmers shares?

Brokers and fundies offer mixed opinions when it comes to predicting the future of the Wesfarmers share price.

Battling for the bears is Alto Capital's Tony Locantro. He pointed to the company's full-year earnings, noting its "strong share price amid economic headwinds" appears to represent a "profit-taking opportunity", courtesy of The Bull.

The company's after-tax profits slumped 1.2%, or 2.9% excluding significant items, last financial year to $2.35 billion as many of its crown jewel retail businesses struggled.

While Bunnings boasted $2.2 billion of pre-tax earnings – a 0.9% year-on-year increase – those of Kmart Group fell nearly 40% to $418 million and Officeworks' dropped close to 15% to $181 million amid lockdowns in the first half.

On top of that, Wesfarmers declared a $1 dividend, boosting its full-year offerings 1.1% year-on-year to $1.80 per share.

Goldman Sachs is also sceptical of the company's future. It has a sell rating and a $38.70 price target on the stock.

Meanwhile, in the bullish corner is broker Morgans. Analyst Alex Lu said the company's earnings were "comfortably above expectations" in August.

Morgans has also dubbed Wesfarmers' businesses "one of the highest quality retail portfolios in Australia", as my Fool colleague James reports. The broker continued:

We see the pullback in the share price as a good entry point for longer term investors.

It has slapped Wesfarmers shares with a $55.60 price target and an add rating ­– representing a potential 19.69% upside.

Meanwhile, UBS has a buy rating and a $55 price target on the stock.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: How does Morgans rate these ASX shares?

Morgans has been looking at a couple of popular shares.

Read more »

A man pulls a shocked expression with mouth wide open as he holds up his laptop.
Broker Notes

Why this beaten down ASX 200 stock could rise 50%

This stock could be dirt cheap according to analysts at Bell Potter.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Fortescue, Qantas, and WiseTech shares

Are these popular shares in the buy zone? Let's find out what analysts are saying.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Breville, Catalyst Metals, and Goodman shares

Let's see what analysts at Morgans are saying about these top stocks.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Light & Wonder, NAB, and Woodside shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular stocks.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Resources Shares

2 ASX mining shares to buy for 2026

Macquarie has buy ratings on this ASX copper mining share and ASX gold mining stock.

Read more »