Broker says Endeavour share price weakness is a 'value entry point'

Goldman Sachs is tipping this drinks giant as a buy…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV) share price has taken a tumble this week.

Since this time last week, the drinks company's shares have lost 10% of their value.

Investors have been selling down the Endeavour share price after the company's full year results disappointed.

Three gentleman in suits clink their glasses of whiskey together in celebration of the rebounding Lark share price today

Image source: Getty Images

Is the weakness in the Endeavour share price a buying opportunity?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts believe investors should take advantage of this weakness to pick up shares.

In response to its results, the broker has reiterated its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $8.10. This implies potential upside of 9% for investors over the next 12 months.

And with Goldman forecasting a 21 cents per share dividend in FY 2023, which equates to a 2.8% yield, the total potential return on offer stretches to approximately 12%.

What did the broker say?

Goldman acknowledges that Endeavour's result was a bit of a mixed bag. It said:

EDV reported 2H22/FY22 results largely in-line with market expectations at the group level, but missed Retail EBIT margin (2H22 4.6%, in line with GSe, -1pt vs Factset Consensus) and FY23 first 7 weeks comp sales trend was weaker than expected (Retail: -6.7% YoY vs GSe -0.6%). On the other hand, Hotels was above expectations with EBIT margin (2H22 23.3% vs GSe 18.5%) and first 7 weeks comp trend was strong at +75% YoY.

This has led to the broker downgrading its earnings estimates slightly for the coming years.

'Value entry point'

Nevertheless, it remains positive on the long term and sees the Endeavour share price pullback as a "value entry point."

Despite the stock sell down on the back of results, our longer-term investment thesis for EDV does not change. We continue to see that EDV has one of the most loyal consumer bases in Retail (unique annual active users +15% YoY to 4.5mn in FY22) and improving VOC NPS. As the company continues to invest in consumer loyalty and digitalization, we expect that this will continue to drive mid-single digit sales growth in mix improvement together with cost efficiencies for margin expansion. We hence view the pull back in share price as a value entry point into a high quality and defensive player in AU Consumer.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today.
Broker Notes

Forget CBA shares, Bell Potter says this ASX financial stock could deliver a 75% return

The broker sees potential for major upside and a generous return from this stock.

Read more »

Lion roaring in the wild, symbolising a rising Liontown share price.
Broker Notes

Up 117% in a year, should you still buy Liontown shares now?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on the soaring Liontown share price.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Bapcor, Challenger, and DroneShield shares

Analysts have given their verdict on these shares this week. Are they bullish, bearish, or something in between?

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

These ASX 300 stocks could be top buys offering 25%+ returns according to Bell Potter

The broker thinks the total returns on offer with these shares could be substantial.

Read more »

A silhouette of a soldier flying a drone at sunset.
Broker Notes

The DroneShield share price has soared 266% in a year. Time to take profits?

A leading expert offers his outlook for DroneShield’s surging shares.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, QBE, and Qantas shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these shares.

Read more »

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 200 share could be dirt cheap with a 7% dividend yield

Bell Potter is predicting 50% upside and a 7% dividend yield.

Read more »