Are Rio Tinto shares a buy? See what top brokers are saying

The miner's share price has struggled to make ground in recent months.

| More on:
tradie holding a laptop computer displaying ASX share price and scratching his head looking confused

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Rio shares have levelled off at bottom ranges throughout July to date
  • The price of iron ore continues to be a key outlook in the investment debate
  • Rio Tinto shares are down more than 9% for the past 12 months

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has flatlined recently and is currently around 2% higher than this time last month.

The miner's shares closed on Thursday trading at $97.10 apiece, within range of their July 2022 levels.

But what do brokers think about the Rio Tinto share price? Let's take a look.

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy?

Analyst opinion is fairly mixed on the stock's status, with 11 out of 18 brokers saying it's a buy and the remainder rating it a hold, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

The consensus price target from this list is $113.36 per share, suggesting the group predicts a sizeable amount of upside yet to be priced in.

Those at Citi said that Rio still produces "robust" free cash flow, which could potentially pay up to $8.32 per share in dividends in FY22.

That dividend could potentially increase to $9.40 per share in FY23 if the miner continues its pace of free cash flow generation, Citi says.

Meanwhile, iron ore continues its sharp ascent and has reversed off highs of USD$119 per tonne on 1 August to reset at USD$105 per tonne on last check.

The volatility is matched within the Rio share price over extended periods, as seen in the chart below over the past six months.

TradingView Chart

With these factors in mind, it depends on investor process and preference as to whether Rio Tinto shares are a buy right now or not.

Analyst sentiment is tilted to bullish. However, underlying market fundamentals might be tightening, according to Trading Economics.

"Demand has also been suppressed by a worsening macroeconomic backdrop for the Chinese economy, with the latest data showing concerning figures for industrial production and retail sales that added to woes regarding the financial stability of the country's property developers," it said in a recent note.

The Rio Tinto share price is down more than 9% over the past 12 months.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 100 stock can rise 14% to a new 52-week high

Goldman Sachs thinks investors should be buying this top stock now.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Goldman says buy this ASX 200 share for a 14% annual return

This overlooked stock could be a good option for investors according to the broker.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies is closely with large wine barrels in the background, stored in a brick walled wine cellar.
Broker Notes

2 undervalued ASX 200 shares with 'significant catalysts ahead'

We reveal the ASX 200 coal and wine stocks that this fund manager has selected for additional investment.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Broker Notes

1 ASX 200 energy stock with 'minimal competition' to buy right now

This stock is trading 30% lower than its 2022 record high.

Read more »

happy investor, share price rise, increase, up
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 25% to 50%

Analysts believe these shares could deliver big returns for investors.

Read more »

a smiling woman sits at her computer at home with a coffee alongside her, as if pleased with her investments.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »