What's the outlook for Newcrest Mining shares in FY23?

Newcrest remains compressed in 2022.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Newcrest shares are rangebound today, but have drifted lower in recent months
  • Gold has also taken a backward step in 2022 and is trading at key support levels
  • In the last 12 months, Newcrest shares have slipped more than 26% into the red

Shares of Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) are rangebound today and trade less than 1% in the red.

At the time of writing, the gold miner is fetching $19.23, following an 18% slip into the red over the past month of trade.

Meanwhile, the price of gold is still bottom-heavy at US$1,722 per ounce.

A girl looks through a microscope at money.

Image source: Getty Images

What's in store for Newcrest shares?

The gold price has been a challenge for Newcrest in CY2022. It has tumbled from previous highs and now trades at key long-term support levels, as seen below.

Newcrest shares and the gold price tend to track each other closely. Gold has been drifting lower as the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal increases amid rising yields. Recall, gold pays no interest.

TradingView Chart

Newcrest released its operational update and exploration overview for the June quarter. The company reported sound results, with gold production in line with forecasts, and copper production slightly lower than guidance.

It also reported higher injury rates than the prior period at its Cadia, Telfer and Red Chris operations.

Investors can expect FY23 full-year guidance in Newcrest's annual report due for presentation on 19 August.

It did note, however, that it is progressing its "exciting pipeline of organic growth projects," and remains "focused on superior operational performance".

Meanwhile, 47% of brokers presently advocate buying Newcrest shares, while the remaining 53% are advising to hold, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

The consensus price target from this list is $25.62, suggesting there could be more upside yet for the miner if this group is correct.

In the last 12 months, Newcrest shares have slipped more than 26% into the red.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Stacked gold bricks.
Broker Notes

Up 83%! 4 reasons I'd still buy this $8 billion ASX 200 gold stock today

A leading expert forecasts more outperformance from this surging ASX gold stock.

Read more »

Stacked gold bricks.
Gold

How high will the gold price go this year, according to RBC Capital Markets?

Global uncertainty should spell gains for the precious metal.

Read more »

Gold nugget in a miner's hand amid black rocks.
Gold

This exciting ASX 300 stock has 89% upside: Broker

This gold producer is set to explode.

Read more »

Stacked gold bricks.
Gold

ASX gold shares have surged 34% in a month. Morgan Stanley says this could come next

Gold miners could have another big tailwind ahead.

Read more »

Gold bullion leaning on a stack of gold ingots.
Gold

ASX gold shares soared 34% in August. Is the run over?

A 34% month, then a sharp reversal.

Read more »

CEO leading a board meeting.
Gold

Northern Star shares slide 5% as investors digest another surprise

Investors have another development to weigh up this week.

Read more »

Businessman planning and analysing investment data.
Earnings Results

Kingsgate Consolidated posts record FY2026 earnings

NPAT jumps 843% and a dividend is declared on record gold and silver production.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face.
Gold

Why this ASX gold-copper stock could rocket 90%

Bell Potter has good things to say about this up and coming stock.

Read more »