What's the outlook for the Lynas share price in FY23?

Investors have rallied the rare earths producer this week.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Lynas shares are taking a tumble today on no news
  • The company recently posted its Q4 earnings with a robust result
  • Brokers are bullish on the share and reckon it could be a buy in FY23

The Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price is falling today, currently down 2.97% at $8.17.

Investors have sold down Lynas shares since 28 June, with the stock pushing to six-month lows of $7.54 apiece on 12 July (as seen in the graph below).

But what might be in store for the mineral explorer for the rest of FY23?

TradingView Chart
Three business people stand on platforms in the desert and look out through telescopes.

Image source: Getty Images

What next for the Lynas share price?

The Lynas share price made a strong start to the week following the release of the company's Q4 FY22 earnings report.

In it, the rare earths producer reported a 10% dip in sales but grew cash receipts 34% to a record $350 million. Growth was underscored by robust pricing and strong demand for rare earths.

Noteworthy is that neodymium and praseodymium (NdPr) prices were roughly 70–80% higher year on year, Lynas said.

Additionally, Lynas reported sales revenue of $294.5m, which it said was the second highest quarterly result recorded. This was achieved despite slightly lower production, mainly due to water shortages in Malaysia.

Macquarie analysts are bullish on the Lynas share price, with the broker rating it a buy. It also values the company at $12.50 per share, as my Foolish colleague Tristan Harrison reported today. Macquarie says Lynas is valued at 10 times FY23 estimated earnings.

Moreover, Lynas is rated a buy from two out of three of the analysts covering the share, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

The average price target from this list is $10.26 apiece, suggesting there could be more upside left in the share yet.

Investors will be hoping Lynas can repeat its performance in FY22 when it soared by 53%. This was particularly impressive given the ASX 200 itself fell some 10% during the period.

In the last 12 months, the Lynas share price has gained 38%.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A statuesque woman throws earth in the air in front of a rocky outcrop.
Resources Shares

Top 5 ASX 200 lithium shares of FY26

These stocks recorded capital growth ranging from 77% to 327% last financial year.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, and holding a mobile phone in his other hand.
Resources Shares

China's CPI and PPI data drops today. Here is the potential impact for these ASX shares

China's June CPI and PPI data drops tomorrow. Here is the potential impact for BHP, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue shares.

Read more »

A worker in hi-vis gear holds his hand up saying no.
Resources Shares

BHP shares tumble as strike threat hits iron ore giant

A strike threat is weighing on this ASX mining giant.

Read more »

Upset man in hard hat puts hand over face.
Resources Shares

BHP shares slump 13% from their peak: Are the ASX mining shares a buy, sell or hold?

BHP shares have fallen further into the red.

Read more »

gold, gold miner, gold discovery, gold nugget, gold price,
Resources Shares

Ramelius Resources achieves FY26 guidance, grows cash flow and completes Edna May sale

Ramelius Resources hit annual gold production guidance, saw strong cash flow, and announced the sale of its Edna May hub.

Read more »

Red line going down on an ASX market chart, symbolising a falling share price.
ASX Share Market News

Why are PLS shares still falling? Here's what's behind the sell-off

Lithium prices are cooling, dragging PLS shares lower once again.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Resources Shares

West African Resources posts June 2026 quarter gold production update

West African Resources delivered robust June quarter gold production and maintains confidence in its 2026 annual guidance.

Read more »

A hand holding a lump of rare earths material against a blue sky.
Resources Shares

Lynas Rare Earths inks $50m deal for new Malaysian magnet factory

Lynas Rare Earths is investing $50m in a Malaysian magnet factory partnership with JS Link, boosting its supply chain capabilities.

Read more »