Here's the Rio Tinto dividend forecast through to 2024

Rio Tinto has been tipped to pay some big dividends…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has returned to form on Monday.

In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are up 2% to $103.48.

Despite this gain, the Rio Tinto share price remains down 25% from its 52-week high.

In light of this, income investors may be wondering what this share price weakness means for the Rio Tinto dividend in the coming years.

A female worker in a hard hat smiles in an oil field.

Image source: Getty Images

Where is the Rio Tinto dividend heading?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts appear to believe FY 2021's US$10.40 per share fully franked dividend could be the near term peak. However, it is still expecting some very big yields from the mining giant.

For example, in FY 2022, the broker expects Rio Tinto's dividend to come in at a fully franked US$8.70 (A$12.55) per share. Based on the current Rio Tinto share price, this would mean a very generous fully franked 12.1% dividend yield for investors.

In FY 2023, the broker is forecasting a similarly big dividend from Australia's second largest miner. It has pencilled in a fully franked US$8.49 (A$12.25) per share dividend from the company. This represents an 11.8% yield for investors.

Finally, with Goldman expecting iron ore prices to weaken in FY 2024, it is forecasting a dividend cut to US$6.78 (A$9.78) per share. But despite this cut, this would still represent an above-average 9.5% dividend yield for investors.

Should investors buy Rio Tinto shares?

As well as big dividend yields, Goldman Sachs sees plenty of value in the Rio Tinto share price.

The note reveals that its analysts have a buy rating and $131.00 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors over the next 12 months.

Goldman commented: "Rio is a FCF story in our view, however, and we see the company returning to growth in 2022 & 2023 with a c. 3% and 5% increase in Cu Eq production."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Why Rio Tinto shares flew back onto my passive income radar this week

Following this week's big dividend boost, Rio Tinto’s passive income appeal came roaring back.

Read more »

Person handing out $100 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Dividend Investing

$1,000 buys 311 shares in an incredibly reliable ASX dividend stock

This business has a great track record of dividend growth.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

I'd generate $1000 in monthly passive income using these three high-yield stocks

These stocks combine good yields with solid underlying businesses.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Dividend Investing

How much passive income would $100,000 of BHP shares make?

Here is what current forecasts suggest an investment in the mining giant could produce.

Read more »

A werewolf monster holds its big dividend of cash in its paws.
Resources Shares

Monster dividend: Are Rio Tinto shares a buy for income today?

This latest dividend is a doozy.

Read more »

A boy stands in front of two similar but slightly different doors, scratching his head as to which one to choose.
Growth Shares

Looking for both growth and income? This ASX share is the perfect choice

You don't always have to choose between growth and income.

Read more »

A businessman in a suit adds a coin to a pink piggy bank sitting on his desk next to a pile of coins and a clock, indicating the power of compound interest over time.
Dividend Investing

3 ASX dividend shares raising dividends like clockwork

Payouts from these stocks are regularly going up.

Read more »

Woman smiling with her hands behind her back on her couch, symbolising passive income.
Dividend Investing

I'd buy 11,295 shares of this ASX stock to aim for $400 a month of passive income

This business could be one of the most underrated options for dividends.

Read more »