Here's the Rio Tinto dividend forecast through to 2024

Rio Tinto has been tipped to pay some big dividends…

| More on:
A female worker in a hard hat smiles in an oil field.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has returned to form on Monday.

In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are up 2% to $103.48.

Despite this gain, the Rio Tinto share price remains down 25% from its 52-week high.

In light of this, income investors may be wondering what this share price weakness means for the Rio Tinto dividend in the coming years.

Where is the Rio Tinto dividend heading?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts appear to believe FY 2021's US$10.40 per share fully franked dividend could be the near term peak. However, it is still expecting some very big yields from the mining giant.

For example, in FY 2022, the broker expects Rio Tinto's dividend to come in at a fully franked US$8.70 (A$12.55) per share. Based on the current Rio Tinto share price, this would mean a very generous fully franked 12.1% dividend yield for investors.

In FY 2023, the broker is forecasting a similarly big dividend from Australia's second largest miner. It has pencilled in a fully franked US$8.49 (A$12.25) per share dividend from the company. This represents an 11.8% yield for investors.

Finally, with Goldman expecting iron ore prices to weaken in FY 2024, it is forecasting a dividend cut to US$6.78 (A$9.78) per share. But despite this cut, this would still represent an above-average 9.5% dividend yield for investors.

Should investors buy Rio Tinto shares?

As well as big dividend yields, Goldman Sachs sees plenty of value in the Rio Tinto share price.

The note reveals that its analysts have a buy rating and $131.00 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors over the next 12 months.

Goldman commented: "Rio is a FCF story in our view, however, and we see the company returning to growth in 2022 & 2023 with a c. 3% and 5% increase in Cu Eq production."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

Man open mouthed looking shocked while holding betting slip
Dividend Investing

1 magnificent Australian dividend stock down 15% to buy and hold forever

Lotteries are a proven cash cow.

Read more »

woman in white shirt splashing money in the air
Dividend Investing

Own IVV or IOO ETFs? It's dividend payday for you!

Investors holding iShares ETFs comprised of international shares will receive their dividends today.

Read more »

A large clear wine glass on the left of the image filled with fifty dollar notes on a timber table with a wine cellar or cabinet with bottles in the background.
Dividend Investing

Which of the big 4 ASX 200 bank stocks paid the most passive income in 2025?

Just how much passive income did the ASX 200 banks like CBA pay in 2025?

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Buy 2,000 shares of this top ASX dividend stock for $860 in passive income

This buy-rated stock offers an attractive yield and major upside according to Macquarie.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

This is the ASX 200 share offering a 6.25% dividend yield

This business looks undervalued and offers a big dividend yield.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Dividend Investing

Forget term deposits and buy these ASX dividend shares

These dividend shares could be great additions to a balanced income portfolio.

Read more »

Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend stocks for 5% to 10% yields: Experts

Analysts expect these shares to provide big yields in the near term.

Read more »

Happy woman holding $50 Australian notes
Dividend Investing

Which ASX 200 market sectors delivered the best dividend yields in 2025?

Here are the dividend yields of each of the 11 market sectors in 2025.

Read more »