Down 12% in June, is the IGO share price a buy?

There's balancing factors on both sides of the IGO investment debate.

| More on:
Young boy with glasses in a suit sits at a chair and reads a newspaper.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • IGO shares continue in a downtrend that's been in situ since April
  • The stock has whipsawed in recent times, however, analyst sentiment is still constructive on IGO 
  • In the last 12 months, the IGO share price has gained 52%

Shares of diversified miner IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO) have crept 3.68% lower today and now rest at $11.27 apiece.

After whipsawing in a wide trading range these past six months, the IGO share price has seen a drawdown of 25% from its closing high in April.

In broad market moves, the S&P/ASX 300 Metals and Mining Index (ASX: XMM) has slipped 2% into the red today.

Is the IGO share price a buy?

Analysts at JP Morgan reiterated their overweight rating on the IGO share price following the battery metals miner's most recent earnings:

We continue to like the stock from an investment point of view, based on a high production growth outlook, exposure to extremely tight lithium markets, the [free cash flow] FCF outlook (approximately 20% FCF yield) and an attractive valuation (P/NPV 0.72x;FY23E EV/EBITDA3.5x).

That sentiment is echoed by many other analysts covering the company, with more than 64% of brokers saying IGO is a buy right now, according to Bloomberg data.

In contrast, there's just 21% rating it a hold, while the remaining 14% urge their clients to sell. Two of these IGO bears are Morgan Stanley and Ord Minnett.

With that distribution in mind, the consensus price target is $13.15 per share for IGO, suggesting around 17% return potential should the bull thesis play out.

Those at Macquarie are equally as constructive on the lithium industry after the sector saw a ripple from a bearish note out of Goldman Sachs last week.

Macquarie notes there's still plenty of legs for the sector to run, and it also rates IGO as a buy on that basis.

IGO also has an estimated forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.9x per Bloomberg data, a roughly 21% discount to its GICS Industry's average of 8.7x. The question is if IGO is undervalued, however, the market will ultimately decide this moving forward.

In the last 12 months, the IGO share price has clipped a 52% gain despite sinking 5% into the red this year to date.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

busy trader on the phone in front of board depicting asx share price risers and fallers
Resources Shares

Brokers issue new price targets on soaring ASX 200 mining shares

ASX 200 mining shares BHP, PLS Group, South32, and many others hit multi-year highs this week.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Resources Shares

Buying BHP and Rio Tinto shares? Here's how the ASX mining giants are partnering up

Rio Tinto and BHP are shaking things up in Western Australia.

Read more »

Two young male miners wearing red hardhats stand inside a mine and shake hands
Resources Shares

Mining momentum: 2 ASX stocks that could surprise investors this January

Copper demand is rising fast in 2026, putting Sandfire Resources and Rio Tinto back in focus.

Read more »

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Resources Shares

Fortescue shares vs. BHP: Which delivered superior returns in 2025?

We compare the 12-month returns of the two biggest ASX 200 mining shares, BHP and Fortescue.

Read more »

A gloved hand holds lumps of silver against a background of dirt as if at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Silver just tumbled 5% today. What on earth is going on?

Silver fell 5% after record highs as profit taking hit demand.

Read more »

Engineer looking at mining trucks at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Gallium has been earmarked as a critical mineral. Here's how you can get exposure on the ASX

These four companies are all looking to become producers.

Read more »

A woman is very excited about something she's just seen on her computer, clenching her fists and smiling broadly.
Resources Shares

Up 113% since April, why this $4 billion ASX 200 mining stock is tipped to keep outperforming in 2026

A leading broker forecasts more outperformance from this surging ASX 200 mining stock.

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Resources Shares

BHP shares hover near 52-week high as momentum builds. Is a breakout coming?

BHP shares trade near a 52-week high as buyer momentum supports the uptrend.

Read more »