'Woodside will distribute US$20bn in dividends over the coming decade': Morgan Stanley

Off-market buy backs, mergers and acquisitions, and US$20 billion of dividends are predicted.

| More on:
man laying on his couch with bundles of money and extremely ecstatic about high dividend returns

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Morgan Stanley is reportedly expecting big things from Woodside in the future
  • The broker is said to expect the energy giant to pay out more than US$20 billion in dividends over the next 10 years, trading with a dividend yield of between 10% and 12%
  • It's also flagged potential off-market share buybacks, mergers, and acquisitions 

Owners of Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) shares, rejoice! Morgan Stanley has reportedly tipped the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) company to be a future dividend machine.

The newly merged energy giant currently has a market capitalisation of more than $60 billion. But that could be just the beginning.

Let's take a look at what Morgan Stanley reportedly expects from the fresh-faced juggernaut over the coming years.

Woodside shares tipped to pay out US$20bn of dividends

Off-market buybacks, mergers and acquisitions, and US$20 billion (AU$27.8 billion) of dividends, oh my! Morgan Stanley reportedly sees green pastures for Woodside shares.

The top broker has tipped the ASX 200 company as a "must-own" energy play, particularly for gas-focused investors, The Australian reports.

"It has some of the strongest leverage to oil and gas prices globally and the structural tailwinds behind gas may see its global discount reverse," the broker reportedly told clients.

But what about dividends? Morgan Stanley is said to expect the company to provide billions of dollars in payouts over the coming years. The publication quoted it as saying:

We forecast Woodside will distribute US$20 billion in dividends over the coming decade, providing it with another US$20 billion to re-invest in growth, diversify, and pursue further capital management.

In addition, we forecast a strong dividend yield in the 10% [to] 12% range over the next few years should energy prices remain elevated.

The company is also tipped to start a journey of growth with its newly reset balance sheet.

The broker reportedly believes the company could execute US$4 billion of off-market share buybacks over the next 18 months. That could lift to between US$6 billion and US$8 billion if it capitalises on potential Asian gas assets.

And that's not all. Woodside's current position means it could be on the lookout for new mergers and acquisitions, according to the broker.

"A strong balance sheet also puts the company in a position of strength to execute its [merger and acquisition] processes which could potentially provide look-through value to its portfolio," Morgan Stanley was quoted as saying.

Morgan Stanley reportedly has a $40 price target and an 'overweight' rating on Woodside shares.

At Monday's close, the Woodside share price was $32.83.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, REA Group, and Xero shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular stocks. Let's see if it is bullish on them.

Read more »

A couple stares at the tv in shock, with the man holding the remote up ready to press a button.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Aristocrat, James Hardie, and TechnologyOne shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular shares. Is it bullish, bearish, or something in between?

Read more »

A satisfied business woman with three fluggly pink clouds in the shape of a heart
Broker Notes

9 ASX All Ords shares upgraded to strong buy ratings for the new year

Seeking investment inspiration for the new year? Here are the latest consensus tips.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face over these rising Tassal share price
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares experts think will smash the market in 2026!

Big returns could be on the cards for investors with these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Three satisfied miners with their arms crossed looking at the camera proudly
Resources Shares

4 ASX mining shares with buy ratings for 2026

Stronger commodity prices are a tailwind for ASX mining shares going into the new year.

Read more »

A man and woman high five each while sitting down after working out at the gym.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter rates these ASX shares as strong buys for 2026

The broker has good things to say about these shares. Let's find out more.

Read more »