Can the AMP dividend yield really push to 15%?

Let's examine what one set of analysts are saying.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • AMP could return surplus capital back to shareholders this year according to this pair of analysts 
  • Analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence submit that AMP's dividend yield could nudge past 15% in its blue-sky scenario 
  • The AMP share price has managed to hold a 7% gain this year to date 

Shares of AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) are rangebound on Thursday and now trade less than 1% in the red at $1.08 apiece.

AMP has copped its fair share of flack in the past 12 months with its share price oscillating heavily across the period. Yet, it still holds a 2% gain in that time following a 7% lift in 2022.

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price

Image source: Getty Images

One firm sees a huge lift in AMP's dividend

Analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence have turned bullish on AMP and reckon the insurance giant can post a dividend yield well above what the consensus is pricing in for 2022.

In a recent note, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Matt Ingram and Jack Baxter are constructive on AMP's capital position and reckon this could bode in well for total shareholder return.

"AMP may achieve 15% dividend yield this year vs. consensus' 3%, despite stating it's not in a position to resume regular payouts to 'hold a strong capital position'," the pair wrote.

"This curbs our expected A$1 billion 2022 payout and more than 20% yield," they added.

Yet yield will get a boost on its plan to return of a majority of proceeds from the sale of Collimate Capital businesses, which we think could top A$500 million

The analysts continued on by saying that AMP's restructuring is aligned with the sale of the global equities and fixed income division from AMP Capital back in March.

This should free up additional capital, they say, that could ultimately be re-routed back to shareholders in the form of dividends.

Should the pair's forecasts eventuate then AMP shareholders are in for a certain treat come the time of AMP's next earnings announcement.

AMP share price snapshot

The AMP share price has managed to hold a 7% gain this year to date following a 3% gain in the past month of trade.

Shares have cooled off in recent weeks however, with the stock falling from a high of $1.21 on 5 May.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Financial Shares

If I invest $8,000 in Macquarie shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

How much dividend cash can investors bank on next year?

Read more »

A silhouette shot of two business man shake hands in a boardroom setting with light coming from full length glass windows beyond them.
Financial Shares

Perpetual to acquire Interfi majority stake; debt reduction underway

Perpetual has agreed to acquire a majority stake in Interfi and expects a notable reduction in gross debt.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Financial Shares

Is this ASX financials stock a better buy than CBA shares?

Bell Potter has given its verdict on this financials stock. Here's why it could be a top buy.

Read more »

A corporate team stands together and looks out the window.
Financial Shares

These 2 undervalued ASX financials stocks could be a once in a lifetime buy

Why investors should scoop up these undervalued stocks right now.

Read more »

One man in a classic navy blue business suit lies atop a wheelie office chair while his colleague, also in a navy business suit, grabs him by the legs and propels him forward with both of them smiling widely as though larking about in the office.
Financial Shares

3 reasons why the Macquarie share price is a buy

Let’s get into the positives of Macquarie today…

Read more »

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Financial Shares

3 ASX financial shares to buy: experts

ASX 200 financial shares are down 3% in 2026 compared to a 1% slip for the broader benchmark index.

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Financial Shares

ASX shares sink 8% as investors baulk at spending surge

The ASX share price is falling as costs come into focus.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Financial Shares

Qube Holdings is trading below its takeover price. Here is what investors need to know

Qube Holdings trades at a 3.5% discount to Macquarie's $5.20 takeover offer. Here is what the gap means and whether…

Read more »