The Rio Tinto share price has dumped 8% in a week. Is it now cheap?

The miner's shares are in the red today.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Rio Tinto share price is falling today 
  • The S&P/ASX 200 Resources Index is also down on Tuesday
  • Some analysts rate Rio Tinto as a buy while others recommend investors hold the share 

The Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) share price has been sliding lately but could it be set to bounce?

Rio Tinto shares have slipped 8.3% from $111.85 at market close on 3 May to the current share price of $102.57. In today's trade, the Rio Tinto share price has fallen nearly 4%. For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is 1.46% lower at the time of writing.

So what is the outlook for the Rio Tinto share price?

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

Could Rio go higher?

Rio shares may be down in the past week but they are not the only ASX mining shares to suffer. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Resources Index (ASX: XJR) has plunged more than 6% since market close on 3 May and is down more than 3% today.

Brokers have a mixed view of the Rio Tinto share price. Macquarie recently placed a $140 price target on the company's shares and rates it as a buy. This is a 25% upside on the current share price.

Meantime, Citi has placed a $135 price target on the company's shares and also rates it as a buy. Both of these analysts are optimistic about the future outlook of the Rio Tinto share price.

However, UBS has a neutral rating on Rio with a $104 price target on the company's shares. JP Morgan is also neutral on the stock, as my Foolish colleague Zach recently reported. Analysts, on average, predict the Rio share price to hit $128.52 in the next 12 months, according to NAB trade.

In the company's recent 5 May AGM, CEO Jakob Stausham highlighted Rio Tinto aims to boost its investment in growth capital to US$3 billion in 2023 and 2024. The company also plans to focus on commodities "essential for the drive to net zero". Stausham added:

We have demonstrated our willingness to grow via acquisitions. The Rincon lithium project in Argentina brings growth in a commodity essential to the energy transition, while at Oyu Tolgoi our proposal to acquire full ownership of Turquoise Hill will simplify the ownership structure and provide additional exposure to copper.

Share price snapshot

Rio Tinto shares have descended 23% in the past 52 weeks, while the company's share price is just over 2% in the green year to date.

For perspective, the benchmark ASX 200 has shed more than 2% over the past year.

Rio Tinto has a market capitalisation of about $38 billion.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Resources Shares

Alcoa smashes Q2 revenue record, boosts portfolio with South32 acquisition

Alcoa posts record Q2 revenue.

Read more »

a woman wearing full miner's uniform, including a hard hat with lamp, high visibility overalls and vest, smiles in front of mining equipment.
Resources Shares

Perseus Mining: Yaouré growth drilling pays off

Perseus Mining has reported positive growth updates at Yaouré, highlighted by a strong mining performance and plans for an expanded…

Read more »

gold, gold miner, gold discovery, gold nugget, gold price,
Resources Shares

Regis Resources upgrades FY27 production guidance and cost outlook

Regis Resources lifted FY27 production guidance and adjusted cost forecasts, while increasing growth capital and exploration spending.

Read more »

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Resources Shares

Why this ASX copper stock could rise 30%+ in 12 months

Bell Potter sees potential for big returns from this mining stock.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Resources Shares

Why are BHP shares surging 4% today despite a flat copper price?

Here's what's fuelling BHP's strong share price rally.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Resources Shares

Evolution Mining posts record FY26 cash flow

Evolution Mining posted record FY26 cash flow and steady production, maintaining a net cash position and strong project delivery.

Read more »

Two smiling men in high visibility vests and yellow hardhats stand side by side with a large mound of earth and mining equipment behind them smiling as the Carnaby Resources share price rises today
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto: 3% production growth and strong lithium output in H1 2026

Rio Tinto reported a 3% rise in first-half copper equivalent production and ongoing growth across key commodities.

Read more »

An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks.
Resources Shares

Up almost 50%, is it too late to buy BHP shares?

This blue-chip miner has rallied hard, but I think the long-term case still stacks up.

Read more »