Broker says Santos share price could storm 27% higher

Santos shares could be cheap even after rising 19% in 2022…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Santos shares have charged 19% higher since the start of the year
  • Rising oil prices have given its shares a boost
  • Analysts at Morgans still see major upside ahead for the Santos share price

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is pushing higher on Wednesday thanks to rising oil prices.

In afternoon trade, the energy producer's shares are up 1% to $7.88.

This means the Santos share price is up 19% since the start of the year.

Two brokers pointing and analysing a share price.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the Santos share price keep rising?

The good news for investors is that one leading broker believes there's still plenty of upside ahead for the Santos share price.

According to a note out of Morgans, its analysts have put an add rating and $10.00 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Santos share price, this implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Morgans notes that the company has announced a US$250 million share buyback. While it is not overly sure about the decision, it points out that this appears to indicate that management believes the Santos share price could be cheap. It said:

"It is good to see STO prioritising shareholder returns, particularly during periods of elevated earnings. In particular linking returns to FCF strength while leaving plenty of capacity for management to flex distributions.

Although it is harder to see the value proposition of the on-market share buyback at current prices. Other than a brief spike in early 2020 (pre COVID), STO is trading at its highest share price since 2014. This increases risk around the assumption that the buyback adds value. History has taught us that buybacks typically struggle to add value when conducted at cycle highs."

Nevertheless, the broker remains very positive on the investment opportunity here and believes its "growing earnings should ease any lingering market concerns around STO's balance sheet."

It has also recently stated that it expects "the resilience of STO's growth profile and diversified earnings base [to] see it best placed to outperform against a backdrop of a broader sector recovery."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Energy Shares

Hand holding out coal in front of a coal mine.
Energy Shares

Buying Whitehaven Coal shares? Here's how the miner just locked in $853 million in funding

Whitehaven Coal revealed a major funding boost intended to reduce costs.

Read more »

Oil worker giving a thumbs up in an oil field.
Energy Shares

Why is this ASX energy stock plunging today?

A big capital raise will have this company cashed up.

Read more »

Stock market chart in green with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Energy Shares

Up 635% in one year, guess which ASX energy share is rocketing again on Friday

Investors are bidding up this surging ASX energy share again today. But why?

Read more »

Young woman dressed in suit sitting at cafe staring at laptop screen with hands to her forehead looking tense.
Energy Shares

ASX 200 energy shares whipsaw amid fragile ceasefire

ASX 200 energy shares are leading the market today after a substantial sell-off yesterday.

Read more »

Falling prices of oil demonstrated by a red arrow and barrels of oil.
Energy Shares

ASX shares to watch as oil price crashes

The turnaround in oil prices is a huge headwind for the ASX shares.

Read more »

Red arrow going downwards in front of oil pumpjacks.
Energy Shares

Why are Santos and Woodside shares crashing today?

Let's see what is weighing on these shares on Wednesday.

Read more »

A Santos oil and gas company employee stands in a field looking at an iPad with an oil rig in the background and grey skies above, representing carbon in the atmosphere.
Energy Shares

Santos shares sink 5% despite another strong Alaska result

Santos shares fall despite strong Alaska oil appraisal and project progress.

Read more »

An oil worker holds his hands in the air in celebration in silhouette against a seitting sun with oil drilling equipment in the background.
Energy Shares

4 reasons why Woodside shares are a screaming buy right now

The oil and gas giant's shares have rallied off the back of tighter global oil supply.

Read more »