Broker says selloff of Bank of Queensland shares was unjustified

Bank of Queensland's shares have been sold off. Is this a buying opportunity?

| More on:
An ASX shares broker analysing a chart tracking the A2 Milk share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Bank of Queensland's shares have fallen 8% in April
  • Investors have been selling the bank's shares following its half year results
  • Citi feels the selloff is unjustifiable and has created a buying opportunity

The Bank of Queensland Limited (ASX: BOQ) share price is having a tough month.

Since the start of April, the regional bank's shares have fallen 8% to $7.96.

Why is the Bank of Queensland share price down 8% this month?

Investors have been selling down the Bank of Queensland share price in response to the bank's half year results.

While the bank reported stronger earnings than the market was expecting, this was driven largely by lower bad debts and thus the quality of its earnings were not as great as they first appeared.

Nevertheless, the team at Citi remain positive on the company and continue to see significant value in the Bank of Queensland share price.

According to a note, the broker has put a buy rating and $10.25 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 29% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, Citi is forecasting a fully franked 49 cents per share dividend in FY 2022 and 56 cents per share dividend in FY 2023. This equates to yields of 6.1% and 7%, respectively, which stretches the total potential return to over 35%.

What did the broker say?

Citi doesn't believe the selloff of the Bank of Queensland share price post-results was justified. It commented:

"Was a ~6% share price sell-off justified for BOQ on 14th Apr after it delivered an inline 1H22 pre-provision profit result, with a ~9% beat at the cash earnings line?

This result was compositionally weaker than expected, but we think investors are more concerned about 1) BOQ's revenue growth compared to peers in a higher cash rate environment; 2) Cost base trajectory following the ME acquisition; and 3) the capital intensity of the business resulting in the need to use discounted DRPs to fund near-term growth.

Despite our expectations for weaker than peer revenue growth as rates rise, we are maintaining a Buy recommendation for BOQ. The current P/BV of just 0.80x and dividend yield of >6% are too low for a bank that delivers ~9.0% cash ROE, which is in-line with its cost of equity, as well as being forecast to deliver a single-digit earnings and dividend growth profile."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A woman smiles over the top of multiple shopping bags she is holding in both hands up near her face.
Broker Notes

Broker tips 68% upside for Myer shares following brutal sell-off

Could a turnaround be on the cards?

Read more »

Coal miner holding a giant coal rock in his hand making a circle with his hand, symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

Expert says this strategic ASX mining stock could rocket 219% or more

Big upside potential.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

rising asx share price represented by rollercoaster ride climbing higher
Broker Notes

2 ASX All Ords shares tipped to rip 20% to 85% in 2026

Here are 2 ASX All Ords shares that the experts predict will grow strongly in the new year.

Read more »

Army man and woman on digital devices.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names the best ASX defence stocks to buy

Wanting exposure to this booming industry? Bell Potter has two picks for you.

Read more »

A little Asian girl is so excited by the bubbles coming out of her bubble machine.
Broker Notes

Wondering which ASX shares to buy for 2026? Experts weigh in

We reveal 4 ASX shares with buy recommendations from the experts.

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 50% to 65%

Big things could be coming for buyers of these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Higher interest rates written on a yellow sign.
Broker Notes

How will interest rate hikes impact the big four ASX banks like CBA shares?

If the RBA hikes interest rates in 2026, what will that mean for ANZ, Westpac, NAB, and CBA shares?

Read more »