Why this broker tips the Macquarie share price to clip $227 this year

Sentiment has remained positive on Macquarie amid recent volatility.

| More on:
Two brokers analysing stocks.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Macquarie shares have clawed back gains in recent months to drive through market volatility 
  • One broker is positive on the bank and tips its share price to rise another 10% this year 
  • In the last 12 months, the Macquarie share price has climbed 32% 

Shares in Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) have leapt higher in recent weeks to trade at $206.67 before the open on Thursday.

After a rough period of volatility, the investment bank has clawed back gains and is now tracking towards its 52-week high of $215.

TradingView Chart

Can Macquarie's share price run higher?

One broker has priced in roughly 10% more upside for Macquarie shares this year. JP Morgan values the bank at $227 per share, after revising its price target up from $223 per share in a recent note.

"[Macquarie's] guidance for commodities income to be "significantly up on FY21" was given prior to the recent spike in energy prices," the broker shared.

"Since then, international events have contributed to much higher natural gas price volatility, which should provide strong support to trading income."

As such it now projects the bank's commodities income to spike 27% in FY22 to $3.4 billion, with a slight drop to $2.6 billion the following year.

All-in-all, the broker tips FY22 to be a bolster year for Macquarie, locking in tidy profits if all goes according to plan.

Recent acquisitions and structural demand for alternative investments are also catalysts for Macquarie's various operating segments, it says.

"Growth should be supported by significant deployment of capital into all operating divisions given a healthy capital surplus," analysts added.

"We still see modest upside to our valuation, particularly given our forecast of >15% Return on Equity (ROE) in FY22-24'".

At $227 per share JP Morgan's valuation rests above the consensus price target for Macquarie of $220.54, but Jefferies and Morgan Stanley both value the bank at $245 per share, according to Bloomberg data.

In the last 12 months, the Macquarie share price has climbed 32% and is up 6% this past month.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 50%

Big returns could be on the cards for owners of these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 100 stock can rise 14% to a new 52-week high

Goldman Sachs thinks investors should be buying this top stock now.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Goldman says buy this ASX 200 share for a 14% annual return

This overlooked stock could be a good option for investors according to the broker.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies is closely with large wine barrels in the background, stored in a brick walled wine cellar.
Broker Notes

2 undervalued ASX 200 shares with 'significant catalysts ahead'

We reveal the ASX 200 coal and wine stocks that this fund manager has selected for additional investment.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Broker Notes

1 ASX 200 energy stock with 'minimal competition' to buy right now

This stock is trading 30% lower than its 2022 record high.

Read more »

happy investor, share price rise, increase, up
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 25% to 50%

Analysts believe these shares could deliver big returns for investors.

Read more »