How does the Fortescue dividend compare to its sector?

The iron ore miner is known for its generous dividend payouts. So, how does it stack up against its rivals?

| More on:
Worker in hard hat looks puzzled with one hand on chin

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Fortescue and BHP both offer similar dividend yields, although Rio Tinto offers the most value for shareholders
  • Goldman Sachs predicts Fortescue to pay US$1.16 in FY22 and US 74 cents the following financial year
  • The broker maintained its sell rating on the company's shares at $15.20 apiece

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMGdividend has been a talking point over the years, rewarding shareholders with big payouts.

This comes as the mining giant has enjoyed bumper profits, particularly from the surging iron ore spot price.

Nonetheless, we take a look to see how the Fortescue dividend stacks up against its peers.

How does the Fortescue dividend compare to its sector?

As a broad comparison, the Fortescue dividend is on par with BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), but less favourable than Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO).

As an example, Goldman Sachs is predicting Fortescue to pay fully-franked dividends per share of US$1.16 in FY22 and US 74 cents in FY23.

Based on the current Fortescue share price of $21.73, this implies a dividend yield of 7% and 5%, respectively.

Next up, BHP is forecast to pay dividends of US$2.56 in FY22 and US$2.33 in FY23.

This reflects a dividend yield of 7.5% and 6.9% respectively.

While both miners are predicted to pay similar yields, it is Rio Tinto that offers the most bang for buck.

As such, Rio Tinto is assumed to pay big fully-franked dividends, outmatching the major miners.

Goldman Sachs has projected Rio Tinto to pay dividends of US$9.30 in FY22 and US$8.90 in FY23.

Again, based on the closing Rio Tinto share price, this equates to dividends yields of 11% and 10% respectively.

Are Fortescue shares a buy?

A recent broker note from RBC Capital Markets raised its rating on Fortescue shares by 6.7% to $16.00.

On the other hand, Citi had a different tone, slashing its outlook by 5.9% also to $16.00.

Based on both brokers, this implies a potential downside of around 26%.

Most notably, Goldman Sachs retained its sell rating on Fortescue shares last week. The broker indicated that the company's share price is trading at a significant premium compared to its peers.

However, one near term tailwind is an improvement in Fortescue's low-grade price realisations for iron ore.

In summary, Goldman Sachs put a 12-month price target on Fortescue shares at $15.20. This implies a downside of roughly 30% on the miner's most recent share price.

Fortescue commands a market capitalisation of roughly $66.91 billion, making it the eighth largest company on the ASX.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Dividend Investing

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Looking for passive income? These 2 ASX All Ords shares trade ex-dividend next week!

With ex-dividend dates fast approaching, passive income investors will need to act soon.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend shares for their 4% to 6.6% dividend yields

Analysts are tipping big yields from these buy-rated stocks.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
ETFs

Here's the current ASX dividend yield on the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS)

How much passive income can one expect from this popular index fund?

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Dividend Investing

NAB stock: Should you buy the 4.7% yield?

Do analysts think this banking giant is a buy for income investors?

Read more »

Person handing out $100 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Dividend Investing

The smartest ASX dividend shares to buy with $500 right now

Analysts have put buy ratings on these shares for a reason.

Read more »

Woman calculating dividends on calculator and working on a laptop.
Dividend Investing

1 ASX dividend stock down 17% to buy right now

Analysts see a lot of value and big dividend yields in this beaten down stock.

Read more »

Excited woman holding out $100 notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 high-yield ASX 300 dividend stocks to buy for your income portfolio

Analysts expect big dividend yields from these buy-rated shares.

Read more »

A golfer celebrates a good shot at the tee, indicating success.
Dividend Investing

These ASX dividend winners keep giving investors a pay rise

These stocks have built an impressive consecutive dividend growth streak.

Read more »