The CBA share price has leapt 14% since February. Too late to buy?

Are CBA shares a buy or sell today? Let's ask these major brokers…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • CBA is one of the largest and most popular bank shares in the ASX 200
  • It's had a stunning run over the past six weeks, rising almost 14%
  • Brokers warn the CBA share price is unjustifiably high 

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), as most investors would know, has had a bit of a wild time of it since February. It's actually been a positive six weeks since the end of the second month of the year. The ASX 200 has gained 7.85%, although this move upwards has come with some significant volatility.

For instance, the ASX 200 has swung from a 1% loss since the start of April to a modest gain. But the picture is a lot brighter for a major ASX 200 constituent – the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA).

CBA shares have spent the past six weeks rising an impressive 13.74%. That's including the modest gain of 0.056% we've seen today. The CBA share price is $106.61 at the time of writing. 

This pleasing gain has put CBA within a few dollars of its all-time high of $110.19 reached in November.

So, after this performance, ASX investors might be wondering whether it is too late to buy.

Well, let's see if ASX brokers reckon CBA shares are a buy or a sell.

ASX 200 bank share trading depicted by red buy and sell dice tumbling across a sheet of data in colourful graphics

Image source: Getty Images

Is the CBA share price a buy or a sell today?

Well, the news isn't good for CBA investors when it comes to current ASX broker opinion. As my Fool colleague James covered this week, one broker who reckons CBA is a sell is Citi.

The broker gives CBA shares a 12-month price target of just $90.75. This implies that the ASX 200 bank share has a slide of almost 15% in front of it over the next year. While Citi sees good things ahead for the ASX banking sector as a whole, it doesn't believe the current CBA share price is justified.

But it doesn't end there. As we covered earlier this month, broker Macquarie is also bearish on CBA shares. Macquarie has an underperform rating on the CBA share price, with a 12-month target of $90. That again implies a potential downside of around 15%. Macquarie reckons the bank's upcoming earnings report for FY2022 will disappoint. It's predicting margin pressures and slowing growth.

So that's the view of two prominent ASX brokers on CBA shares right now. Not exactly what you would call unbridled optimism. But, as always, we shall have to wait and see if these opinions turn out to be accurate.

CBA has a market capitalisation of $181 billion, with a dividend yield of 3.51%, based on today's share price.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Bank Shares

Are Westpac shares a top buy this week?

The pullback has made this big four bank more interesting.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Bank Shares

By July 2027, NAB shares could turn $10,000 into…

Could investing in NAB shares generate good returns in the next year?

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Bank Shares

3 reasons why ANZ shares are a screaming buy right now

The banking giant has a lot to offer investors.

Read more »

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.
Bank Shares

How many CBA shares do I need to buy for $10,000 of passive income?

Can CBA still provide investors with good passive income?

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Bank Shares

What are experts tipping for the big four bank shares in the back half of 2026?

Is there any upside for big banks?

Read more »

A male party goer sits wearing a party hat and with a party blower in his mouth amid a bunch of balloons with a sad, serious look on his face as though the party is over or a celebration has fallen flat.
Bank Shares

ANZ, NAB, Westpac and CBA shares: Brokers rate 2 a sell, and 2 a hold

The experts think all of the big four major bank shares could fall further in FY27.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Here's the earnings forecast out to 2027 for ANZ shares

Can investors bank on earnings growth at ANZ?

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Bank Shares

Are CBA shares still worth buying for the long term?

There is a reason investors keep paying a premium for this ASX blue chip.

Read more »