Why has the Macquarie (ASX:MQG) share price rallied 9% in a month?

Financials are leading the broader market in 2022.

| More on:
A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Macquarie shares are powering up this month and have rallied back into the green
  • Some brokers appear positive on Macquarie, whilst broadly, ASX financials are staging gains as well
  • The Macquarie share price is up 29% over the past 12 months

Shares in Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) finished the session on Friday up 0.65% to $197.87 apiece.

It's been a busy month for the Aussie investment bank, with its share price charging 9.45% higher.

Generally speaking, ASX financials have propped up the broader market in 2022. Macquarie has been a major contributor alongside the other big listed banks.

Spicy recipe of macro flavour and analyst sentiment

The S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) has spiked 7.2% in a comeback over the past 30 days. Macquarie has moved with it, bouncing from a one-month low of $175.31 on 7 March.

After two months of volatility, financials like Macquarie have powered back up. They are now among the leading sectors of 2022 behind ASX resources shares.

For example, Morgans has a $200 share price target on Macquarie, even though it is neutral on the bank. At the time of the broker's release, the bank was trading near $176.

Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley values the bank at $250 per share, suggesting considerable upside if the broker's thesis pulls through.

The broker bets that buoyant commodity markets – particularly energy markets in Europe – will drive earnings growth for Macquarie in 2022.

Energy markets have soared in Europe lately amid geopolitical tensions. UK gas prices are up 460% year-on-year whilst Brent Crude has moved another 22% higher this month.

In Macquarie's revenue breakdown last year, commodity markets were a key driver to turnover, as printed in its financial statements.

What else is impacting the Macquarie share price?

Macquarie has lodged a joint competing bid to acquire Uniti Group Ltd (ASX: UWL) in a $5 per share all-cash proposal.

As reported on Thursday, Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assets Holdings Pty Limited (MIRA) and the Public Sector Pension Investment (PSPI) board have lodged a bid for Uniti.

Collectively, the pair have labelled themselves 'Connect Consortium'. MIRA operates within Macquarie Asset Management's Real Assets division.

It remains to be seen if there is any correlation between the gain in Macquarie's share price this week and the Connect Consortium's bid.

The bank has been delivering good returns for ASX investors over the past 12 months, with the Macquarie share price up 29% for the period.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited and Uniti Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Bank Shares

This bank's shares could deliver double-digit returns analysts say

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank's major deal announced this week makes strategic sense, the team at Jarden says.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

Own CBA shares? Here are the dividend dates for 2026

The banking giant has released its corporate calendar for the 2026 financial year.

Read more »

ASX bank share price represented by white Piggy Banks on green background
Bank Shares

ASX bank stocks: Buy, sell, or hold?

Here's what to expect over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Down 8% and 11% in November – Is this the start of a long slide for NAB and CBA shares?

These banks had an awful month.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Bank Shares

Buying NAB shares? Here's how the bank aims to cement its market leading business

NAB shares could gain long-term support from the bank’s latest strategic shift.

Read more »

Three happy multi-ethnic business colleagues discuss investment or finance possibilities in an office.
Bank Shares

Bendigo Bank shares fall despite RACQ deal

The regional bank has announced a major deal with RACQ Bank.

Read more »

A woman looks nonplussed as she holds up a handful of Australian $50 notes.
Opinions

Westpac versus CBA shares: Which bank is a better buy for 2026?

Are you weighing up buying shares in these two banking giants?

Read more »

Three male athletes sprint on an athletics track with the sun low on the horizon behind them representing the race between ASX lithium shares to outperform
Bank Shares

ANZ shares are lagging the other big banks: Here's why

Here's Macquarie's take on the bank's shares.

Read more »