Could the Firefinch (ASX:FFX) share price have 130% upside? Broker weighs in

Why do analysts believe Firefinch is undervalued? We take a look.

| More on:
A young boy dressed in an old man-style cardigan with business shirt and bow tied wearing big spectacles smiles to himself as he sits at a laptop computer at a desk with hands on keys.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Firefinch share price is in the green today 
  • Analysts at J Capital believe the company is undervalued 
  • The broker predicted an upside of between 70% and 130% 

Analysts believe Firefinch Ltd (ASX: FFX) is significantly undervalued at its current market capitalisation. At the time of writing, the Firefinch share price is 90 cents, a 1.13% gain on the day. In comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 0.07%.

Firefinch is a gold explorer and a lithium developer working on the Morila gold mine and Goulamina lithium project in Mali, West Africa.

Let's take a look at why one broker sees huge upside for the Firefinch share price.

Firetech undervalued

Analysts at J Capital Research believe the Firefinch lithium asset Goulamina is "underappreciated" and gold mine Morila "significantly undervalued".

Commenting on their view of the company, analysts said:

We believe Firefinch should be trading at a valuation between $1.68 and $2.28 billion. With the current market cap of $990 million, the upside is between 70% and 130%.

We believe Firefinch's under-appreciated lithium asset, Goulamina, alongside its operational gold mine, Morila, are significantly undervalued based on the current market capitalisation. We view both the gold and the lithium project as de-risked as they are operational and fully funded respectively.

J Capital believes Firefinch's Goulamina lithium project should be worth at least $1.4 billion. Analysts said:

When we compare the Goulamina lithium project to the market value of eight other lithium companies with hard-rock lithium projects, we believe Goulamina is worth at least double what the market currently values it at.

Further, analysts valued Firefinch's gold venture Morila between $275 and $430 million. After engaging a team of geologists, J P Capital predicted the mine could produce between 100,000 and 156,000 ounces each year. Analysts said:

We have totally discounted any potential upside from an underground mine. This is more conservative than street analysts, who believe Morila is worth double our low-end target.

Firefinch share price snapshot

The Firefinch share price has exploded 316% in the past 12 months, while it has climbed 3.5% this year to date.

Over the past month, Firefinch shares have jumped 35% and are 11% higher over the past week.

Since the J Capital report, the company's market cap has increased to about $1.04 billion.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.  The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Here is the dividend forecast to 2028 for Fortescue shares

The potential dividend payments from Fortescue could surprise you.

Read more »

Female miner smiling at a mine site.
Share Gainers

Up 834% in a year, guess which ASX mining stock is hitting new all-time highs today

The ASX mining stock has gone from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Little-known ASX copper share catches Gina Rinehart's attention

Australia's richest person is investing in critical minerals at a rapid pace.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

4 ASX small-cap mining insiders buying up big chunks of company shares

These companies were worthy of their directors' money in recent weeks.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

Why the big three ASX 200 mining stocks are enjoying a banner day on Thursday

BHP, Fortescue and Rio Tinto shares are all catching some extra tailwinds today.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

1 ASX 200 mining stock to buy and hold forever

Rio Tinto looks to me like a strong miner to own for the long term.

Read more »

A miner stands in front oh an excavator at a mine site
Opinions

Two ASX 200 mining stocks to buy now for the AI revolution

I think these two ASX miners are in the sweet spot amid the booming growth of AI.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 mining giants' copper project cops setback

BHP and Rio Tinto are struggling to get the go-ahead for a US copper mine.

Read more »