Top broker gives its verdict on the Magellan (ASX:MFG) share price

The Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG) share price is having a very difficult time in 2022. Since the start …

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Key points

  • The Magellan share price has been hammered in 2022.
  • With the fund manager's shares hitting a multi-year low, is this a buying opportunity?
  • Morgans has given its verdict on the company's shares.

The Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG) share price is having a very difficult time in 2022.

Since the start of the year, the struggling fund manager's shares are down by over a third.

This left the Magellan share price trading at a multi-year low of $13.41 earlier today.

Is the Magellan share price in the buy zone?

The team at Morgans has been looking over the fund manager's most recent funds under management (FUM) update and has given its verdict on the Magellan share price.

The broker notes that Magellan's outflows have continued, with a further $5 billion redeemed over the last two and a half weeks.

Combined with market movements, this has left its FUM at $69.1 billion, which is down 10.5% during the period. This comprises global equities FUM of $39.2 billion, infrastructure FUM of $20.4 billion, and finally Australian equities FUM of $9.5 billion.

Unfortunately after bleeding funds in recent months, Morgans isn't convinced that the trend will be stopping any time soon.

It commented: "Stabilisation of the Retail FUM base will be key for the business (A$1.4bn of outflows in CY22 to-date). We expect ongoing outflows, however note there is risk of acceleration given persistent relative underperformance in the Global fund."

And while the broker does see some value in the Magellan share price, the risk/reward on offer is not sufficient enough for it to be more positive.

Morgans explained: "Further meaningful outflows look inevitable, and until the more severe downside risks ease and there is increased certainty in the FUM base, we continue to see the risk/reward as unfavourable."

In light of this, the broker has retained its hold rating and cut its price target by a sizeable 28% to $15.78.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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