Will soaring commodity prices hold back the Bitcoin price in 2022?

A growing list of commodities are now trading at all-time highs.

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Key points
  • Bitcoin price gains overnight 
  • Russian sanctions sending commodities to historic highs 
  • Traders may be investing in the commodity supercycle at Bitcoin's expense 

The Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price is up 5% since this time yesterday.

One Bitcoin is currently trading for US$40,616 (AU$52,207).

In a sign of the ongoing volatility of the world's top crypto. Over the past 24 hours, it's traded as high as US$$40,240 and as low as US$38,107.

Commenting on the Bitcoin price gains, OANDA Americas senior markets analyst, Edward Moya said (quoted by CoinDesk), "Bitcoin is higher on the day as risk appetite showed signs of life after U.S. stocks had the worst rout in a few years."

Man sitting at a desk facing his computer screen and holding a coin representing discussion by the RBA Governor about cryptocurrency and digital tokens

Image source: Getty Images

Are soaring commodity prices holding back the Bitcoin price?

Many crypto bulls had been expecting the Bitcoin price to rebound past US$50,000 by now.

Some have been pointing to cryptos' usefulness to ordinary Russians locked out of Visa and Mastercard, even as the value of the ruble tumbles.

However, it may be that the massive rise in commodity prices we're seeing is diverting some would-be crypto investors' money into these fast rising hard assets.

According to Moya:

Bitcoin's fundamentals are still sound, but many active traders are putting the crypto trade on hold and focusing on a handful of commodity supercycle trades. Bitcoin is forming a trading range and over the next few weeks it could trade between the US$35,000 and $45,000 trading range.

What's going on with commodities?

It's not every day we hear the Bitcoin price linked to commodity prices.

But then the incredibly rally we're seeing across a wide range of commodities, including crude oil, gas, coal, and nickel, is unprecedented.

Indeed, Brent crude oil is trading at 14-year highs. While coal recently broke into new all-time highs.

Commenting on the surging commodity prices, AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould said (quoted by The Australian):

The prospect of fresh sanctions on Russia, and moves to ban the purchase of commodities supplied by that country, is driving up prices of oil, gas, wheat, nickel, copper… Russia is a top-5 producer of palladium, diamonds, gas, oil, platinum, potash, aluminium, gold, nickel and steel.

That's some list.

And don't forget that Ukraine is also a major commodity producer. One whose exports will be hugely impacted by Russia's on-going invasion.

How will this all play out for the Bitcoin price in 2022?

Time will tell.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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