Is the Allkem (ASX:AKE) share price a bargain buy after dropping 12% so far this year?

Is this the lithium share to buy?

| More on:
asx lithium shares represented by two little wooden peg dolls one with happy face below full battery icon, the other with sad face below empty battery icon

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Allkem share price has fallen heavily this year
  • One leading broker believes this could be a buying opportunity for investors
  • Its price target implies upside of ~46% over the next 12 months

Like many in the lithium sector, the Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) share price has had a tough start to 2022.

Despite pushing higher today, this lithium miner's shares are still down over 12% since the turn of the year.

Is the Allkem share price in the buy zone?

While the Allkem share price weakness is disappointing for shareholders, it could be a buying opportunity for others.

According to a recent note out of Morgans, Allkem is the broker's top pick in the sector and sees significant upside potential from current levels.

The note reveals that the broker has an add rating and $13.25 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Allkem share price of $9.10, this implies potential upside of almost 46% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Morgans was pleased with Allkem's recent quarterly update and highlights its better than expected production, strong lithium pricing, and production growth potential from new operations.

The broker said: "Our preferred stock for lithium exposure, Allkem. AKE announced a 68% qoq increase in revenue at Olaroz and a 7% CY21 beat of production guidance at Mt Cattlin with large increases in realised prices at both projects. AKE expects USD20k/t for lithium carbonate sales in 2HFY22 at Olaroz. Production growth continues with Naraha commissioning, progress on Sal de Vida and FID expected on James Bay in 2QCY22. Construction is expected to commence the following quarter."

And while the broker suspects that lithium prices could be volatile, it sees scope for them to keep rising.

It explained: "We expect ongoing volatility in the sector as the market seeks to understand how supply and demand will be balanced. We think that while this cycle has moved out of the early stages it still has some room to run in the short term."

All in all, this could bode well for Allkem in 2022.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns Allkem shares. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Person pointing finger on on an increasing graph which represents a rising share price.
Broker Notes

Experts rate these 2 ASX growth shares as buys this month!

These businesses could deliver good returns in the coming years.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A farmer pats a small beef cattle bovine on the head in a green field with trees in the background.
Broker Notes

Two undervalued agriculture ASX shares to add to your Christmas stocking

These stocks could be a buy before the new year.

Read more »

Rising real estate share price.
REITs

Macquarie names its top 4 ASX REITs to buy today

Macquarie expects these four dividend paying ASX REITs will all surge higher in 2026.

Read more »

Man with virtual white circles on his eye and AI written on top, symbolising artificial intelligence.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX AI stock could return 40% in 2026

Let's see which stock Bell Potter is tipping to rise strongly.

Read more »

Woman leaping in the air and standing out from her friends who are watching.
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 gold stock has surged 77% in 2025. Here's why Macquarie expects it to leap another 23%

Macquarie forecasts 23% upside for this surging ASX gold stock, and that doesn’t include the dividends!

Read more »

green lithium battery being held by person
Broker Notes

Forget Pilbara Minerals! Expert says this ASX lithium stock could soar 112%

Strategically important.

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.
Broker Notes

Expert tips 165% upside for this ASX mining stock as rare earths tailwinds persist

Marching forward.

Read more »