Has the CSL (ASX:CSL) share price dropped back into the buy zone?

CSL shares have been declining. Is it now an opportunity?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The CSL share price has been falling in the last few weeks
  • The biotech company recently announced the major acquisition of Vifor Pharma
  • Brokers like the acquisition and currently rate the business as a buy

The CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price has been dropping recently. Over the last two months, it has declined around 14%.

CSL is a leading global biotech company. It develops and delivers innovative biotherapies and influenza vaccines that save lives, and help people with life-threatening medical conditions live full lives.

The business has delivered capital growth. Over the past 5 years, the CSL share price has risen 140%.

But how does the next year or two look for the business?

What's impacting the CSL share price?

Plenty of ASX growth shares have fallen in recent weeks, so it's not just CSL. Names like Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) and Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) have both dropped more than 20% recently.

For CSL, the big news over the last month or so has been the proposed acquisition of Vifor Pharma for A$16.4 billion.

What does Vifor do? It has an "outstanding team and a leading portfolio of products" with renal disease and iron deficiency. CSL also said that Vifor has a proven strategy of partnering and business development and licensing.

This portfolio of products will complement CSL's existing therapeutic focus areas including haematology, thrombosis, cardiovascular and transplant, with a high-quality pipeline.

But it's not just about diversification. Management think that CSL can help grow the Vifor Pharma business. CSL's global reach, R&D capabilities and resources will help the delivery of the Swiss company's products to patients.

The offer has already been unanimously recommended by Vifor Pharma's board of directors. Vifor Pharma's largest shareholder, Patinex, also likes the offer.

In terms of adding to profit, CSL expects it will add low to mid-teens to underlying net profit after tax (NPATA) per share in the first full year of ownership, including the full run rate of cost synergies.

What do brokers think of the deal?

Morgans likes the deal and thinks it adds value to CSL, whilst giving adding defensive earnings with more growth avenues.

Citi also thinks that the Vifor Pharma acquisition increases the value of CSL.

After the announcement of the acquisition both of these brokers increased their price targets for CSL by more than $10 per share.

Morgans now has a price target of $334.70 on the CSL share price, which suggests an upside of more than 20%. Meanwhile, Citi has a price target of $340 on the company, implying an increase of around 25%.

Profit expectations

When CSL announced the acquisition, it confirmed that its FY22 net profit after tax (NPAT) guidance was for an approximate range between US$2.15 billion to US$2.25 billion.

Citi's projections put the CSL share price at 40x FY22's estimated earnings and 31x FY23's estimated earnings. The broker has a buy rating on the biotech business.

Morgans thinks that CSL shares are valued at 41x FY22's estimated earnings and 35x FY23's estimated earnings. It also rates the company as a buy.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Afterpay Limited, CSL Ltd., and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Afterpay Limited and Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Healthcare Shares

Scientist looking at a laptop thinking about the share price performance.
Healthcare Shares

Mesoblast just cleared a key FDA hurdle. So why are investors exiting?

Mesoblast shares slide to a 2-month low despite positive FDA feedback on its lead cell therapy product.

Read more »

Man leaps as he runs along the street.
Healthcare Shares

ASX 300 stock jumps 6% on strong half-year results and cash flow surge

Let's see how this medical device company performed during the first half.

Read more »

Two boys lie in the grass arm wrestling.
Healthcare Shares

Is CSL or Sonic Healthcare the smarter ASX healthcare share buy?

This ASX heavyweight has potential to deliver superior returns but is more volatile.

Read more »

Doctor sees virtual images of the patient's x-rays on a blue background.
Healthcare Shares

Up more than 800% in a year. Why this ASX medical tech stock just hit an all-time high

4DMedical shares have surged over 800% as US hospital adoption and FDA clearance drive momentum.

Read more »

A retiree relaxing in the pool and giving a thumbs up.
Healthcare Shares

1 ASX dividend stock down 36% I'd buy right now

This business looks like it’s priced too cheaply.

Read more »

Researchers and doctors with futuristic 3d hologram overlay for body anatomy or dna in hospital clinic.
Healthcare Shares

Why investors are watching this ASX healthcare stock

A fresh clinical update has been released.

Read more »

A Sonic Healthcare medical researcher wearing a white coat sits at her desk in a laboratory conducting a COVID-19 test
Healthcare Shares

This biotech is up more than 20% on new deal news

Revenue will flow under this global deal just announced.

Read more »

A male doctor and a woman in scrubs in the foreground smile.
Healthcare Shares

The next 3 years could be huge for this ASX healthcare stock. Here's why

Today's update has put this ASX healthcare stock back in the spotlight as investors reassess its long-term growth potential.

Read more »