Are Afterpay (ASX:APT) shares a buy before they convert into SQ2 shares?

Afterpay shares will soon turn into SQ2 shares…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price has failed to build on Wednesday's gains.

In afternoon trade, the buy now pay later (BNPL) provider's shares are down 1.5% to $75.80.

A woman with black afro hair and wearing a white t-shirt shrugs and purses her lips

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Afterpay share price falling?

The Afterpay share price is under pressure today following a pullback in the Block (previously named Square) share price overnight.

Yesterday Block received the final approval required to implement its takeover of Afterpay. This means that in a matter of days the Afterpay share price will no longer exist and will instead be absorbed into the payment giant.

The combined company will then have a secondary listing on the Australian share market under the SQ2 ticker code. It is due to commence trade on the ASX on 20 January on a deferred settlement basis before trading normally from 2 February.

Should you buy Afterpay shares before they convert to SQ2 shares?

One leading broker that appears to believe that investors should buy Afterpay shares now is Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG).

The note, courtesy of the Australian, reveals that its analysts feel there's a buying opportunity here for investors. This is due to their belief that the Square share price is undervalued at the current level.

Macquarie commented: "APT's share price should trade in line with SQ going forward and whilst the story is a bit more complicated now vs when the proposed acquisition was initially announced in terms of the BNPL operating environment, the potential impact to Cash App from waning government payments, and tech multiples coming in on higher rate expectations, SQ shares are still quite undervalued in our view."

US growth slows

Though, it is also worth highlighting that Morgan Stanley estimates that the company's growth in the key US market is slowing.

Yesterday's note reveals that the broker estimates that Afterpay's app downloads grew 10% year on year in December in the US. This was notably lower than its rivals. The broker estimates that Affirm's app downloads grew 90% and Klarna's grew 70%.

However, if Block integrates the Afterpay BNPL service into its Cash App in 2022, which has over 40 million active users, these lagging download rates won't be much of a problem.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Afterpay Limited and Block, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Afterpay Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on BNPL shares

person sitting at outdoor table looking at mobile phone and credit card.
Earnings Results

Zip Co reports record FY26 earnings and outlines growth strategy

The buy now pay later provider delivered a 45.7% increase in net profit after tax to $116.4 million.

Read more »

Stressed man in an an office with his eyes closed and phone in his hand, with investing graphs open on two iMacs.
BNPL shares

Zip shares are getting crushed: What's gone wrong?

Zip’s 20 August update will test growth, profits, and credit quality.

Read more »

Two people comparing and analysing material.
BNPL shares

Should I buy Zip shares before the end of July?

The market expects profits to rise quickly from here. That creates considerable upside if Zip delivers.

Read more »

Happy man wearing a blue shirt and glasses holding a card and using buy now pay later services to purchase a product on his office computer
BNPL shares

$10,000 invested in Zip shares at the March lows is now worth…

While Zip shares are well down for the year, investors who bought at the March lows are sitting pretty.

Read more »

An older man throws his hands up in excitement as he rides a carnival swing high up in the air.
BNPL shares

Zip shares are going wild. What investors need to know

Zip's recovery is gaining momentum, but the biggest test lies ahead.

Read more »

An evening shot of a busy Times Square in New York.
BNPL shares

Could US expansion send Zip shares soaring further?

The fintech's biggest opportunity may still be unfolding in America.

Read more »

A happy shopper with a wide mouthed smile holds multiple shopping bags up around her shoulders.
BNPL shares

Why brokers think Zip shares could soar 50% or more in FY27

Experts believe Zip's earnings momentum could fuel another major rally.

Read more »

A woman smiles over the top of multiple shopping bags she is holding in both hands up near her face.
BNPL shares

Zip shares: 3 reasons to buy and 3 reasons to sell

Zip shares have fallen back into the red this week. Find out whether they're a buy or sell now.

Read more »