Is the Goodman (ASX:GMG) share price a good buy?

Is the Goodman share price heading higher?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) share price was a comparatively positive performer on Tuesday.

The integrated property company's shares ended the day a fraction higher at $23.89.

This compares to a 0.7% decline by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

a small child holds his chin with his head on the side in a serious thinking pose against a background of graphic question marks and a yellow lightbulb.

Image source: Getty Images

Where next for the Goodman share price?

Following today's performance, the Goodman share price is up 23% in 2021. While this is more than double the return of the ASX 200, a number of leading brokers believe it can keep rising.

One of those is Citi. A note this month reveals that its analysts have retained their buy rating and lifted their price target on the company's shares to $27.50.

Based on the current Goodman share price, this implies potential upside of over 15% for investors over the next 12 months. The broker is also forecasting a 1.3% dividend yield at current prices.

Why is Citi bullish?

Citi was impressed with Goodman's performance during the first quarter of FY 2022. It was also pleased to see management upgrade its full year guidance to at least 15% earnings per share growth.

However, the broker feels Goodman is being conservative with this guidance and is tipping the company to outperform it.

In addition, Citi notes that the Goodman share price is trading on lower multiples than some of its peer despite its stronger growth.

The broker commented: "GMG (Buy-rated) has today upgraded FY22 EPS guidance by 5% and now expects Operating EPS growth to be "in excess of 15%" or an implied EPS of >75.4c (c. 1% ahead of Citi's ingoing estimate of 74.8c and 1.5% ahead of Visible Alpha consensus 74.4c)."

"We believe the upgrade was driven by a mix of factors. Our EPS estimates rise 3% in FY22 and 5- 6% thereafter, with our TP rising ~6% to $27.50. We continue to see upside to FY22 guidance and now forecast FY22 EPS of 76.9c (+17% growth), 2% ahead of guidance. Importantly, our 3 year EPS CAGR lifts 200bps to ~16%, reflecting higher asset values, and development activity. We retain our Buy call with GMG now trading at ~30x FY22E PE, -3% to -25% below global peers, despite higher growth."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Broker reiterates buy ratings on 2 ASX shares

These ASX shares remain worth watching.

Read more »

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Broker Notes

After more than quadrupling investors' money in a year, are PLS shares still a buy?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for the soaring PLS share price.

Read more »

A young man wearing a bright yellow jumper and glasses purses his lips together and moves them to the side of his face as he wonders about something.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? Life360, Iress, Lynas Rare Earths shares

Experts reveal their views.

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Broker Notes

Why did this broker just lower its outlook on this ASX 200 stock?

Despite a lowered outlook, attractive upside remains.

Read more »

Shocked office worker staring at computer screen with colleagues working in the background.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Cleanaway, Hub24, and MAAS shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these shares. Is it bullish or bearish? Let's find out.

Read more »

Three excited business people cheer around a laptop in the office
Broker Notes

Missed out on Hub24 and Netwealth? Bell Potter thinks this ASX tech stock is next

This small-cap could have major upside potential according to the broker.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Buy this ASX defence stock with a 'high ROIC business model'

Bell Potter has good things to say about this exciting company.

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Bendigo Bank shares

A leading analyst believes the months ahead could be tricky for Bendigo Bank shares.

Read more »