Xero (ASX:XRO) share price sinks: Citi says buy the dip

Time to buy Xero shares?

| More on:
A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) share price was a poor performer last week.

The cloud accounting platform provider's shares dropped a disappointing 6% over the period to end at $142.26.

Why did the Xero share price tumble?

Investors were selling down the Xero share price last week after its half year results fell short of expectations.

For the six months ended 30 September, Xero reported a 23% increase in operating revenue to NZ$505.7 million but a 19% decline in EBITDA to NZ$98.1 million.

The former was softer than the market was expecting, which means it'll need a big second half to reach consensus estimates. Management blamed this partly on COVID-19 lockdowns.

Is this a buying opportunity?

The team at Citi believe investors should be buying the Xero share price dip.

While its analysts acknowledge that the first half result was weaker than expected, it saw enough to upgrade the company's shares.

According to the note, the broker has upgraded its shares to a buy rating and lifted the price target on them to $160.00.

Based on the current Xero share price, this implies potential upside of 12.5% for investors.

What did Citi say?

Citi commented: "Xero's core accounting growth in 1H22 was a bit weaker than expected (partly a function of lockdowns) and North American subscriber growth missed our expectations. However, with AMRR growth accelerating to 29% from 17% in FY21 (26% excl. acquisitions), we upgrade to Buy ($160 target price) as we expect solid growth over the medium term as Xero increases penetration of existing markets (~18% penetration excl. North America), enters new markets (e.g. Europe) and increases ARPU. Our Buy call is not dependent on success in the US, with our forecasts assuming 2.2 million subs in North America in FY31e (~7% penetration)."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

a graph indicating escalating results
Broker Notes

Why this buy-rated ASX energy share is tipped to more than double in 2026

A leading broker expects this rebounding ASX energy stock to rocket 104% in 2026. But why?

Read more »

Delighted adult man, working on a company slogan, on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CSL, Pinnacle, and Telix shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these popular shares right now.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Broker Notes

Top broker forecasts another 83% upside for this outperforming ASX All Ords tech stock

A leading broker expects outsized gains from this ASX All Ords tech stock in 2026. But why?

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 2 ASX shares to buy now

The broker has good things to say about these shares.

Read more »

Woman leaping in the air and standing out from her friends who are watching.
Broker Notes

5 ASX 200 shares forecast to soar 100% (or more) in 2026

Are any of these in your portfolio already?

Read more »

A little boy in flying goggles and wings rides high on his mum's back with blue skies above.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this ASX 200 stock could rise 50%+

The broker thinks big returns could be on offer with this name.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Broker Notes

Why this surging ASX 300 gold stock is forecast to keep on giving

A leading broker forecasts more outperformance from this rocketing ASX gold stock.

Read more »