Evergrande latest, plus another Chinese developer just missed a payment

Here's the latest on Evergrande and the troubles for the Chinese real estate sector.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There have been more developments relating to Evergrande, as well as the Chinese real estate sector as a whole.

Kaisa Group Holdings Ltd is a business that is listed in the Hong Kong. It has already seen its share price fall by around 70% over the last six months.

But, according to reporting by international media like the BBC, Kaisa Group is another Chinese developer that has missed a payment. Kaisa Group reportedly said it was "facing unprecedented pressure on its finances due to a challenging property market" as well as downgrades by rating agencies. This means it is harder for the business to get more loans.

Kaisa Group shares, and three of its units, were halted on Friday. One of its businesses missed making a payment on a wealth management product. However, the company didn't explain why it went into a suspension.

a woman leans her back on the glass of an office tower with her arms folded and her eyes closed as if digesting bad news.

Image source: Getty Images

Latest on Evergrande

It was also reported that Evergrande is still trying to deal with its huge US$300 billion of debt.

What Evergrande has done this week is that, according to the BBC, it sold its UK-based electric motor making business called Protean. It paid US$58 million for this business in 2019, so it still has almost US$300 billion of debt.

Over the next couple of days, Evergrande is meant to pay US$82.5 million of interest payments.

In the middle of next week, the company's 30-day 'grace period' is going to expire on other interest payments that it already owes.

One of the company's plans had been to sell a substantial part of its property services business for US$2.6 billion, but it wasn't able to make a deal for that asset (yet).

What could this mean for the iron ore price

China is the world's largest buyer of iron ore. The Chinese real estate sector is a huge user of Australian iron ore through all of the steel that is used.

The BBC reported that the total debt of all the property developers is over US$5 trillion. Developers including Fantasia, Sinic and China Properties Group have already defaulted on payments that they should have made. That adds to Evergrande and Kaisa Group facing problems.

If there is less demand for iron ore, then the worry is that it could lead to lower iron ore prices, even though iron ore has already fallen by over 50% since earlier in the year.

The broker UBS is quite bearish on iron ore, with miners like Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO), BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) expected to see lower profits in FY22.

UBS is expecting iron ore to fall to US$85 per tonne of iron in FY22 and then to US$80 per tonne in FY23. That's why it currently rates Rio Tinto as a sell, Fortescue as a sell and BHP as a hold. The only reason BHP is a hold is because of its other commodities which are mostly seeing higher prices at the moment.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison owns shares of Fortescue Metals Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

a happy investor with a wide smile points to a graph that shows an upward trending share price
Resources Shares

2 ASX mining shares with 60% to 100% potential upside: experts

Brokers say these ASX mining shares should gain significant value over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Resources Shares

This innovative ASX metals company could deliver more than 100% upside: broker

It's not too late to consider buying this metals innovator's shares.

Read more »

Business women working from home with stock market chart showing per cent change on her laptop screen.
Resources Shares

Should I invest $5,000 in BHP shares?

After a pullback from recent highs, I look to see if this mining giant could be worth considering for long-term…

Read more »

A group of three men in hard hats and high visibility vests stand together at a mine site while one points and the others look on with piles of dirt and mining equipment in the background.
Resources Shares

Here's why the Fortescue share price may have a turbulent few months

Analysts aren't sure what the outlook for the stock looks like.

Read more »

CEO of a company talking to her team.
Resources Shares

BHP and Woodside linked in CEO race as top executive emerges as contender

Geraldine Slattery emerges as a possible candidate in Woodside's CEO search.

Read more »

Two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen at a mine site.
Resources Shares

How much could the BHP share price rise in the next year?

Can the mining giant climb from here?

Read more »

a woman in a flowing dress stands against the backdrop of red iron ore rich dirt as in central Australia.
Resources Shares

5 key drivers of the new commodities 'supercycle': experts

Australia is at the start of a new mining boom, but experts say it will be different to the last.

Read more »

A little boy holds up a barbell with big silver weights at each end.
Resources Shares

Silver surges to US$88 per ounce. Here's what is driving the rally

Silver hits US$88 per ounce as demand and supply pressures support prices.

Read more »