What this broker thinks of the AMP (ASX:AMP) share price after its update

Where next for AMP's shares?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) share price was on form last week and pushed 3% higher following its quarterly update.

This means the financial services company's shares are now up 21% since the time last month.

A businesswoman stares in shock at her computer screen.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the AMP share price keep rising?

One leading broker has been looking at the company's third quarter update and given its verdict on the AMP share price.

According to a note out of Citi last week, its analysts have retained their high risk neutral rating and $1.25 price target.

Based on the current AMP share price of $1.17, this implies potential upside 6.8% for investors. Or 11% including Citi's FY 2022 dividend estimate of 5 cents per share.

What did the broker say?

Citi notes that the company's third quarter update was a little mixed.

It commented: "Overall AMP's 3Q cashflows are a little weaker than we expected with a modest deterioration in flows for AWM removing the early release of super impact in pcp and sizeable outflows from AMP Capital, albeit a large proportion of this was previously flagged. North flows, however, rebounded. Bank loan growth was also a bit better than expected, while NZ also saw modest net outflows. Factoring this in sees very little change to our estimates, although we have also reassessed AWM's likely margins etc, reducing our EPS by 4% in FY22E & 2% in FY23E."

And while it sees value in the AMP share price, it isn't enough for a change of rating due to high levels of uncertainty. Though, this could change after its investor day event next month.

Citi concluded: "AMP may be offering value but it remains too hard to tell currently with so many moving parts. We are, however, hopeful that the upcoming 30th Nov investor day may help to clarify some of these. In the meantime, we retain our Neutral/High Risk call and A$1.25 TP."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Woman checking bottle expiry dates.
Broker Notes

Here's why Morgans just upgraded Woolworths shares

The supermarket giant just received a boost from Morgans.

Read more »

A frustrated young woman shopper holds her hands up with a pained, annoyed expression on her face as she stands next to her trolley in a grocery store and examines the stock offerings on the shelf in front of her.
Broker Notes

Why this leading broker just downgraded Woolworths shares

Let's see why this supermarket giant's shares have just been hit with a downgrade.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Are Mineral Resources shares a buy in May?

Let's see what one leading broker is saying about this mining share.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

5 ASX shares scoring upgraded ratings this week

Experts have raised their ratings on JB Hi-Fi, Beach Energy, Amcor, and others this week.

Read more »

A man sitting at his dining table looks at his laptop and ponders the share price.
Broker Notes

Down 65%: Is this ASX 300 stock a cheap buy?

This stock has been sold off. Has this created a buying opportunity? Let's see what Bell Potter is saying.

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Broker Notes

5 ASX All Ords shares downgraded by brokers this week

Brokers have reduced their ratings on PLS Group, Fortescue, Webjet, and others this week.

Read more »

A man sits in contemplation on his sofa looking at his phone as though he has just heard some serious or interesting news.
Broker Notes

Does Ord Minnett rate Goodman shares as a buy, hold, or sell?

The broker has been looking at a big agreement signed this month.

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Westpac shares

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Westpac shares.

Read more »