Why the Kogan (ASX:KGN) share price could be a top buy

Kogan shares could be worth considering after its latest update.

| More on:
ecommerce asx shares represented by woman shopping online

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price might be worth a look after the company's latest update.

Kogan is one of Australia's largest e-commerce retailers, and now also includes the New Zealand Mighty Ape business.

Here are some reasons why Kogan shares could be worth considering:

Return to growth

Earlier in the 2021 calendar year, the business was experiencing a drop off of demand.

However, in the three months to September 2021, Kogan reported that its gross sales were 21.1% higher than the prior corresponding period. Quarter on quarter, gross sales were 23.2% higher to $330.5 million.

Within the gross sales, the company said that Kogan Marketplace gross sales rose by 68.8% quarter on quarter to $110.4 million.

The performance of gross profit was more varied. The gross profit of $52.5 million declined 1.7% year on year, but it was an increase of 31.6% quarter on quarter.

Customer base still increasing strongly

Customers are the driver of more demand for products and services. This is what drives the network effects and can be a help for growing profit, as well as helping the long-term direction of the Kogan share price.

Kogan.com saw active customers increase 30.7% year on year to 3.35 million. Meanwhile, Mighty Ape had 748,000 active customers at 30 September 2021.

The ASX tech share also has a membership service called Kogan First. The number of Kogan First members grew by 171.1% year on year and 64.4% quarter on quarter to 197,000. At the date of the announcement, it had grown to over 210,000 members.

Kogan said that in the first quarter of FY22, it was focused on scaling Kogan First (and Kogan Marketplace).

Continuing to improve

Whilst the second half of FY21 was difficult, Kogan is continuing to work on various parts of its business to capture the large e-commerce opportunity.

Kogan said that it has been trying to improve its logistics and customer service, whilst also driving synergies with the integration of Mighty Ape.

Management said that the company has finally resolved the previous inventory pressures, whilst also closing a number of inefficient overflow warehouses. This reduction in inventory levels led to the company significantly reducing its warehousing costs, delivering an average variable cost saving $0.8 million per month in the first quarter of FY22, compared to the last quarter of FY21.

Inventory reduced from $227.9 million (comprising $191.8 million in the warehouse and $36.1 million in transit) at 30 June 2021, to $194.3 million (comprising $154.2 million in the warehouse and $40.1 million in transit) as at 30 September 2021.

Whilst adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $10.8 million was a decline of 57% year on year, it was a 240.7% increase quarter on quarter.

What is the Kogan share price valuation?

According to Commsec, the Kogan share price is valued at around 27x FY23's estimated earnings.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Growth Shares

a man in a business suit points his finger amid a digitised map of the globe suspended in the air in front of him, complete with graphs, digital code and glyphs to indicate digital assets.
Investing Strategies

Future focus: How to diversify your portfolio with ASX AI ETFs

Looking for a simple and effective way to capitalise on the growth of AI technologies across global markets?

Read more »

chart showing an increasing share price
Growth Shares

Buy these excellent ASX growth shares for 15% to 20% returns

Analysts think big returns could be on the cards for owners of these shares.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth shares could rise 12% to 30%

Analysts think big returns could be on offer from these shares.

Read more »

Man in an office celebrates at he crosses a finish line before his colleagues.
Growth Shares

Hoping to beat the ASX 200? I'd consider buying these 3 ASX shares

Analysts think these shares can outperform the market.

Read more »

a happy investor with a wide smile points to a graph that shows an upward trending share price
Growth Shares

5 top ASX growth shares to buy in April

Analysts think growth investors should be buying these shares.

Read more »

A young woman holds her hand to her mouth in surprise as she reads something on her laptop.
Growth Shares

These mid-cap ASX shares could rise 20% to 50%

Goldman Sachs is tipping these stocks as buys.

Read more »

A happy boy with his dad dabs like a hero while his father checks his phone.
Growth Shares

2 ASX growth shares that could turn $1,000 into $10,000 by 2034

I think these two stocks have a shot at being 10-baggers.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Growth Shares

These top ASX 200 growth shares can rise 10% to 50%

Analysts see major upside ahead for these buy-rated shares.

Read more »