Why this broker sees 17% upside for the Coles (ASX:COL) share price

This supermarket giant could be good value…

| More on:
Two couples race each other in supermarket trollies, having a great time, smiling and laughing.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for blue chip shares to buy, then the current Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price could make this supermarket giant one to consider right now.

Is the Coles share price good value?

A recent note out of Morgans reveals that its analysts believe the Coles share price is in the buy zone at the current level.

According to the note, the broker currently has an add rating and $19.80 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Coles share price of $16.94, this implies potential upside of 17% over the next 12 months before dividends.

In respect to dividends, Morgans has pencilled in a fully franked 61 cents per share dividend in FY 2022. This represents a 3.6% dividend yield, which increases the total potential return on offer to over 20%.

Why is Morgans bullish?

Morgans was pleased with the company's performance in FY 2021, noting that its earnings came in ahead of its forecasts.

It said: "FY21 EBIT was up 6% to A$1,873m (2% above Morgans and in line with Bloomberg consensus) and underlying NPAT rose 3% to A$1,005m (2% above Morgans and in line with Bloomberg consensus)."

Morgans was pleased with this and also the company' healthy balance sheet. The broker believes the latter provides Coles with plenty of scope "to pursue its medium-term investment plans (data, eCommerce, technology, automation, range, stores and sustainability) while maintaining the group's target dividend payout ratio of 80-90%."

Overall, its analysts believe the Coles share price is trading at a fair level and offers an attractive yield.

Morgans concluded: "COL is a defensive business with strong market positions and a healthy balance sheet. Trading on 24.6x FY22F PE and 3.3% yield we continue to see the stock as offering good value and maintain our Add rating."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Smiling man working on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Medibank, PLS, and Woolworths shares

Analysts have given their verdicts on these shares. Are they bullish or bearish?

Read more »

A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this newly listed ASX stock could rocket 80%

The broker has good things to say about this stock following its recent IPO.

Read more »

Keyboard button with the word sell on it, symbolising the time being right to sell ASX stocks.
Broker Notes

3 ASX insurance shares to sell: experts

After strong share price gains over 2 years, is the party over for ASX insurance shares?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Broker Notes

Experts name 3 ASX 200 shares to sell now

Analysts are feeling bearish about these popular shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: DroneShield, Macquarie, and Wesfarmers shares

What do analysts think of these popular shares?

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

Analysts say these 3 Australian shares are buys

These shares have been given a big thumbs up from brokers.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Develop Global, Metcash, and Treasury Wine shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these shares.

Read more »

Two university students in the library, one in a wheelchair, log in for the first time with the help of a lecturer.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »