Why this broker sees 17% upside for the Coles (ASX:COL) share price

This supermarket giant could be good value…

| More on:
Two couples race each other in supermarket trollies, having a great time, smiling and laughing.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for blue chip shares to buy, then the current Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price could make this supermarket giant one to consider right now.

Is the Coles share price good value?

A recent note out of Morgans reveals that its analysts believe the Coles share price is in the buy zone at the current level.

According to the note, the broker currently has an add rating and $19.80 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Coles share price of $16.94, this implies potential upside of 17% over the next 12 months before dividends.

In respect to dividends, Morgans has pencilled in a fully franked 61 cents per share dividend in FY 2022. This represents a 3.6% dividend yield, which increases the total potential return on offer to over 20%.

Why is Morgans bullish?

Morgans was pleased with the company's performance in FY 2021, noting that its earnings came in ahead of its forecasts.

It said: "FY21 EBIT was up 6% to A$1,873m (2% above Morgans and in line with Bloomberg consensus) and underlying NPAT rose 3% to A$1,005m (2% above Morgans and in line with Bloomberg consensus)."

Morgans was pleased with this and also the company' healthy balance sheet. The broker believes the latter provides Coles with plenty of scope "to pursue its medium-term investment plans (data, eCommerce, technology, automation, range, stores and sustainability) while maintaining the group's target dividend payout ratio of 80-90%."

Overall, its analysts believe the Coles share price is trading at a fair level and offers an attractive yield.

Morgans concluded: "COL is a defensive business with strong market positions and a healthy balance sheet. Trading on 24.6x FY22F PE and 3.3% yield we continue to see the stock as offering good value and maintain our Add rating."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Broker Notes

3 ASX All Ords shares tipped to rise 30% to 80% in 2026

Looking for New Year's investment inspiration?

Read more »

Man in yellow hard hat looks through binoculars as man in white hard hat stands behind him and points.
Broker Notes

4 ASX shares to buy in the market's best-performing sector of 2025

Do these companies deserve a spot in your portfolio?

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: AGL, Coles, and PLS shares

Are analysts bullish or bearish on these shares?

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Experts rate these 2 ASX shares as buys this month!

Leading analysts say these stocks are a buy.

Read more »

Man reading an e-book with his feet up and piles of books next to him.
Broker Notes

What's Bell Potter's view on SGH shares after the BlueScope Steel acquisition proposal?

What should investors expect after Monday's announcement?

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: How does Morgans rate these ASX shares?

Morgans has been looking at a couple of popular shares.

Read more »

A man pulls a shocked expression with mouth wide open as he holds up his laptop.
Broker Notes

Why this beaten down ASX 200 stock could rise 50%

This stock could be dirt cheap according to analysts at Bell Potter.

Read more »