This analyst rates the Telstra (ASX:TLS) share price a buy

Is it time to buy Telstra's shares?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price has been among the best performers on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) this year.

Since the start of the year, the telco giant's shares have risen a massive 31%.

This means the Telstra share price has more than tripled the return of the ASX 200 index over the same period.

Young boy of African American heritage standing in a field with a green mask and cape shouting through a cardboard megaphone.

Image source: Getty Images

Where next for the Telstra share price?

Despite its impressive gain this year, one leading broker believes the Telstra share price can keep rising.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have retained their buy rating and lifted their price target on the company's shares to $4.40.

Based on the latest Telstra share price of $3.95, this implies potential upside of 11% over the next 12 months.

And with the broker expecting another 16 cents per share fully franked dividend in FY 2022, the potential return stretches to just over 15%.

What did the broker say?

Goldman was pleased with the company's recent T25 update and notes that management is targeting strong earnings growth in the coming years.

The broker commented: "Telstra held its T25 Investor Day, with the key strategic/financial updates consistent with our prior expectations. FY25 targets for strong earnings growth were provided, implying a high degree of confidence in the outlook, given expectations for mid-single digit EBITDA growth p.a. and a similar quantum of mobile service revenue growth. However despite EBITDA being in-line with GSe, expectation for high teens EPS growth was marginally below, given D&A, interest & minorities."

Goldman was also pleased to see its dividend policy revert back and is expecting share buybacks in the future.

It explained: "Telstra also revised its dividend policy back towards 100% of EPS, as it prioritizes growing franked dividends over time, while using the c.$600mn p.a. (c.5¢ps) of additional FCF to invest for growth or return to shareholders. On-market buybacks & un-franked dividends were highlighted, but we expect buybacks to be prioritized given the focus on growing franked dividends."

In light of the above, the broker believes the Telstra share price is in the buy zone right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: What this leading broker is saying about Lynas shares

Is it bullish or bearish? Let's find out.

Read more »

share buyers, investors, happy investors
Broker Notes

Bell Potter's top ASX 200 holdings revealed

These are the top holdings in the broker's core portfolio.

Read more »

An athlete runs fast with a trail of yellow smoke billowing out behind him.
Broker Notes

Up 139% in a year, why this buy rated ASX All Ords rare earths stock could keep racing higher

A leading broker forecasts more outperformance to come from this surging ASX rare earths stock.

Read more »

Miner with thumbs up at a mine.
Gold

2 ASX gold miners to buy for solid share price gains, according to Barrenjoey

The Africa-focused companies are deeply undervalued after recent sell-offs, the broker says.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A happy family of four on holidays stand on a jetty and cheer.
Broker Notes

Down 40% in 2026, should you buy the big dip in Life360 shares?

A leading analyst offers his outlook for Life360 shares.

Read more »

Buy and sell on yellow paper with pins on them and several share price lines.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Nuix and Brainchip shares

A leading analyst forecasts more pain to come for Brainchip and Nuix shares. But why?

Read more »

a man lies on his back on grass with his eyes shut and a contented look on his face as though he is dreaming
Broker Notes

With global populations ageing, are ResMed shares a good buy today?

A leading expert delivers his verdict on the outlook for ResMed shares.

Read more »