Top broker says A2 Milk (ASX:A2M) share price is a buy

One leading broker believes this embattled infant formula company's shares could be in the buy zone…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price continued its slide on Friday.

The fresh milk and infant formula company's shares ended the day down 1% to $5.73.

This means A2 Milk shares are now down 51% since the start of the year.

A white and black clock face is shown with three hands saying Time to Buy reflecting Citi's view that it's time to buy ASX 200 banks

Image source: Getty Images

Is the A2 Milk share price a bargain buy?

While opinion is admittedly very divided on where the A2 Milk share price is going next, one top broker expects it to rebound higher.

According to a recent note out of Bell Potter, its analysts have retained their buy rating but trimmed their price target on the company's shares to $7.70.

Based on the latest A2 Milk share price, this implies potential upside of 34% over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

While Bell Potter has reduced its earnings estimates materially, it still believes the A2 Milk share price offers value for money. Particularly given the good work the company has done rebalancing its inventory after a disastrous FY 2021.

Commenting on its inventory, the broker said: "We think the market is underestimating the impact that inventory swaps and sales pullbacks [had] on FY21 and while this is unlikely to be recovered in FY22e, it gives a glimpse of the relative FY21 under earn relative to baseline. As YOY comparisons become softer in 2H22e and with inventory positions reduced we would anticipate a resumption of top line growth to ensue."

"Our Buy rating remains unchanged. Sell-in rates materially lagged sell-out rates in 2H21, implying steps to reduce channel inventories have been effective. As revenues more closely align to point of sale trends we would expect top line growth to return, which could well be complemented by internalising supply chain costs in FY23-25e," it added.

Overall, while the last 12 months have been bitterly disappointing for the A2 Milk shareholders, Bell Potter appears cautiously optimistic that it will be a different story over the next 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Broker Notes

Down 43% this week, are Cochlear shares now the best bargain buy of the year?

A leading analyst believes the historic selloff in Cochlear shares could present a unique buying opportunity.

Read more »

A smiling woman at a hardware shop selects paint colours from a wall display.
Broker Notes

Wesfarmers shares: Buy, hold or sell?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Cochlear, CSL, and DroneShield shares

Are these hugely popular shares in the buy zone or not? Let's find out.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise ~40% to 80%

Brokers are predicting big returns for these top shares. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

Person pointing at an increasing blue graph which represents a rising share price.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 stocks that could rise 50%

Morgans thinks the market is undervaluing these shares.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Dollar sign in yellow with a red falling arrow in front of a graph, symbolising a falling share price.
Broker Notes

6 ASX 200 shares downgraded by brokers this week

Brokers have reduced their ratings on TechnologyOne, Macquarie, 4DMedical, and others this week.

Read more »