Why are Fortescue Metals (ASX:FMG) shares down 14% in a month?

The iron ore giant has faced its share of headwinds on the charts lately.

| More on:
A businesswoman faces headwinds, walking in the rain and wind shielding herself with a briefcase.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price has stepped into the red in morning trade.

Fortescue shares are now exchanging hands at $22.04 apiece, a 1.17% dip from the market open.

Today's loss extends the iron ore giant's run into the red, where its shares have given away around 14% over the last month alone.

Here we cover the headwinds in front of the Fortescue Metals share price of late.

Iron ore causing a sore

Recent downturns in the spot price of oil have been reflected on the charts in Fortescue's share price.

To illustrate, after oil slipped below approximately $30/tonne to reach US$170/tonne last week, Fortescue shares fell from $22.76 to $22.30 after the bell last Friday.

In addition, China is scaling back iron ore production growth on the back of a 12% surge in first-half growth of Chinese steel production.

Moreover, it may be that Chinese demand for iron ore may remain weak into the coming periods, ahead of Beijing's hosting of the February 2022 Winter Olympic Games.

For example, China is seeking to improve air quality for the games, in line with tactics employed for the 2008 Beijing Olympics, a report from Mining.com claims.

Broker notes come into play too

A note to investors from Morgans last week shows the broker's concerns over the Fortescue shares outlook.

Morgans advised that Fortescue is "battling" a challenging execution/cost mix at its Iron Bridge magnetite project. Further, it believes the mining giant faces "slipping C1 cost performance" and some market concern on the company's "grassroots" pivot towards renewables.

As a result, it reduced its rating and price target to $19.30 on Fortescue shares, implying a downside potential of approximately 14%.

In contrast, investment bank JP Morgan reinstated its $30 per share price target and overweight rating on Fortescue shares earlier in the month.

JP Morgan stated its FY22 earnings estimates "sit 16% above consensus" and says that iron ore markets will "remain buoyant on a multi-year view".

Consequently, the broker feels Fortescue shares "can re-rate to reflect the company's outstanding free cash flow generation".

Nonetheless, investors continue the selling pressure on the Fortescue Metals share price, which has dipped a further 3.5% into the red over the last week.

Fortescue Metals share price snapshot

The Fortescue Metals share price has faced headwinds this year to date, posting a loss of nearly 6% since 1 January.

Despite this, Fortescue shares have climbed 22% into the green over the past year, just in behind the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) return of around 25% in this time.

Fortescue also pays a dividend of $2.94 per share, giving a current dividend yield of 11%.

The author Zach Bristow has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Resources Shares

Is this ASX copper stock still worth buying after a 94% surge?

After a huge year, Sandfire shares are back in focus. Is this ASX copper stock still worth buying today?

Read more »

Miner holding a silver nugget
Resources Shares

12 best performing commodities of 2025

Soaring commodity prices put many ASX mining shares on an upwards trajectory last year.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

The pros and cons of buying BHP shares in 2026

Let’s dig into the potential of this ASX mining share giant.

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Resources Shares

Is Rio Tinto still one of the best shares to buy heading into 2026?

Rio Tinto shares are up strongly in 2025. Is the mining giant still worth buying heading into 2026?

Read more »

Coal miner holding a giant coal rock in his hand making a circle with his hand, symbolising a rising share price.
Resources Shares

Why the Mineral Resources share price is up 10% in a month

The Mineral Resources share price is rising again as lithium markets stabilise, iron ore operations ramp-up, and investor confidence improves.

Read more »

Three satisfied miners with their arms crossed looking at the camera proudly
Resources Shares

4 ASX mining shares with buy ratings for 2026

Stronger commodity prices are a tailwind for ASX mining shares going into the new year.

Read more »

Investor covering eyes in front of laptop
Share Fallers

Why are ASX silver stocks getting hammered today?

ASX silver stocks are closing out the final full trading day of 2025 with a whimper. But why?

Read more »

Smiling miner.
Resources Shares

Why I'm bullish on the BHP share price as copper prices surge

Iron ore gets the headlines, but copper is the real long-term story at BHP.

Read more »