How does the Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) dividend compare to the materials sector?

About Latest Posts James MickleboroJames Mickleboro has been a Motley Fool contributor since late 2015. After studying economics at university …

| More on:
A woman holds a lightbulb in one hand and a wad of cash in the other

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price certainly has been a strong performer over the last 12 months.

Since this time in 2020, the mining giant's shares have risen an impressive 26%.

Despite this, Rio Tinto shares are still expected to provide investors with double digit dividend yields in the near term. This makes it one of the more generous dividend payers in the materials sector.

What dividends are expected from Rio Tinto in the near term?

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are forecasting some big fully franked dividends in the near term.

Goldman is expecting dividends per share of US$13.40 in FY 2021, US$12.50 in FY 2022, and then US$10.90 in FY 2023.

Based on current exchange rates and the latest Rio Tinto share price of $128.26, this will mean yields of 14.2%, 13.3%, and 11.6%, respectively.

In addition, Goldman Sachs has a buy rating and $147.50 price target on Rio Tinto's shares. This represents potential upside of 15% over the next 12 months before dividends.

How does the Rio Tinto dividend compare to its peers?

The Rio Tinto dividend compares reasonably favourably to what's on offer from its peers.

For example, Goldman Sachs is forecasting BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) to pay fully franked dividends per share of US$2.89 in FY 2021, US$4.46 in FY 2022, and US$4.00 in FY 2023.

Based on the current BHP share price of $52.04, this implies yields of 7.5%, 11.6%, and then 10.5%, respectively, over the three-year period.

Goldman Sachs also has a buy rating on BHP shares. Its price target currently stands at $57.70, representing potential upside of almost 11%.

What about others?

Finally, another popular option in the sector for dividends is Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG).

Goldman is forecasting dividends per share of US$2.70 in FY 2021, US$2.64 in FY 2022, and then US$1.48 in FY 2023. This will mean yields of 16.2%, 15.9%, and 8.9%, respectively.

However, Goldman isn't anywhere near as positive on Fortescue's shares and actually has a sell rating and $19.90 price target on them.

Based on this, the Rio Tinto dividend is arguably the best option out of the three. Particularly when you factor in the potential share price gains as well.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Dividend Investing

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Dividend Investing

Invest $10,000 in New Hope shares and get $1,006 in passive income

Many ASX investors buy New Hope shares for their high yielding, fully franked dividends.

Read more »

A man in a suit looks serious while discussing business dealings with a couple as they sit around a computer at a desk in a bank home lending scenario.
Dividend Investing

Forget term deposits and buy these ASX 200 dividend shares

Analysts have good things to say about these dividend options.

Read more »

An Australian farmer wearing a beaten-up akubra hat and work shirt leans on a fence with livestock in the background and a blue sky above.
REITs

Should you buy this ASX REIT for its 6% dividend yield?

This expert is telling investors to take advantage of a 6% yield...

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistfull of Australian money, indicating a dividends windfall
Dividend Investing

Here's the BHP dividend forecast through to 2028

Will the Big Australian continue to reward shareholders with big dividends?

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Dividend Investing

Analysts say these ASX 200 dividend stocks are best buys in April

What are analysts saying about these high quality companies?

Read more »

A man in a business suit whose face isn't shown hands over two australian hundred dollar notes from a pile of notes in his other hand to an outstretched hand of another person.
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend shares for income

Analysts have put buy ratings on these income stocks.

Read more »

footwear asx share price on watch represented by look holding shoe and looking intently
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Does this ASX 300 retail stock really have a 7.6% dividend yield right now?

Is a 7.67% dividend yield too good to be true?

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Dividend Investing

Brokers say these ASX 300 dividend stocks are top buys

Attractive dividend yields could be on offer with these shares.

Read more »