What is the outlook for the Woolworths (ASX:WOW) share price?

Where next for the Woolies share price?

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price has been a strong performer in 2021.

Since the start of the year, the retail conglomerate's shares are up a sizeable 16%.

In fact, adjusting for the demerger of Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV), the Woolworths share price has just reached a record high of $39.39.

asx consumer staple shares represented by shopping trolley filled with essential grocery items

Image source: Getty Images

What is the outlook for the Woolworths share price?

Given their strong performance this year, investors will no doubt be wondering where its shares are heading from here.

Unfortunately, the outlook for the Woolworths share price is not overly positive in the near term based on recent broker notes.

For example, a recent note out of Citi reveals that its analysts have a neutral rating and $37.60 price target on its shares. This implies potential downside of 4.5% over the next 12 months.

In addition to this, at the start of the month, the team at Morgan Stanley downgraded Woolworths shares to an equal-weight rating with a $36.50 price target.

According to the note, the broker made the move on valuation grounds. Though, on a positive note, its analysts believe the Woolworths post-demerger capital management will come in at the high end of its $1.6 billion to $2 billion range. It suspects that these funds will be returned to shareholders via an off-market buyback.

Finally, another broker that recently downgraded the Woolworths share price to a neutral rating was Goldman Sachs. It has put a $36.80 price target on its shares. Once again, valuation was the key driver of this downgrade.

The broker explained at the end of June: "While the short-term catalyst of an off-market buyback remains in play, we are taking advantage of the current strength in WOW to downgrade to Neutral. Since we upgraded WOW to a Buy rating on 7 March 2021 the share price has appreciated 14.1% prior to the demerger vs. the market up +8%."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares given buy ratings this week offering 20% to 40% upside

Morgans expects these shares to deliver big returns.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares UBS says could increase 13% to 37%

These shares are primed for a rise, the broker says.

Read more »

two cute young boys dressed in business suits sit amid a pile of papers with a calculator and adding machine looking very happy for themselves.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: BOQ, Harvey Norman, Lynas shares

Here’s what brokers forecast for these three ASX shares over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Three people jumping cheerfully in clear sunny weather.
Broker Notes

5 ASX 200 shares upgraded by experts this week

Brokers have increased their ratings on AMP, Evolution, Wesfarmers, and other stocks. 

Read more »

Happy businessman fist pumping while looking at a tablet.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 300 share could rise 32%

A top broker sees potential for big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 share offers 30% upside and a 7% yield

Bell Potter expects big returns from this stock.

Read more »

Two businessmen shake hands against a tech backdrop, indicating a company IPO or a merger between two technology stocks.
Broker Notes

Which ASX telco could jump 140% according to Morgan Stanley?

This Singapore-based company is performing well.

Read more »