How big will the Fortescue (ASX:FMG) dividend be over the next 12 months?

This iron ore giant has been tipped to pay big dividends to investors…

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price has been a very impressive performer over the last 12 months.

Since this time in 2020, the iron ore producer's shares have risen by an impressive 55%.

The good news is that despite the strong rise in the Fortescue share price, analysts still believe investors will be rewarded with incredibly generous dividends in the near term.

A smiling woman with a handful of $100 notes, indicating strong dividend payments

Image source: Getty Images

The Fortescue dividend

One leading broker that believes the Fortescue dividend will be enormous in the near term is Bell Potter.

According to a note out of the broker, its analysts note that the iron ore price has remained stronger than expected. As a result, it has revised its iron ore forecasts upwards and adjusted its earnings and dividend estimates accordingly.

Bell Potter said: "Our FY21 dividend increases 1.3% to A409cps, inclusive of a fully franked final dividend payment of A262cps (from A257cps), a 10.2% yield on its own. Our forecast prospective 12-month dividend payouts lift 5.7% to A460cps (from A435cps) as 1HFY22 captures our higher iron ore price forecast, for an interim payment of A198cps and forecast 17.9% fully franked yield."

However, despite this sizeable yield, Bell Potter is only recommending Fortescue as a hold with a $24.06 price target.

Is anyone more positive on the Fortescue share price?

One leading broker that is more positive on the Fortescue share price is Macquarie. Its analysts have an outperform rating and $27.00 price target on its shares at present.

The broker is forecasting fully franked dividends of $3.45 per share in FY 2021 and then $2.45 per share in FY 2022.

Based on the latest Fortescue share price of $25.42, this will mean yields of 13.6% and 9.6%, respectively, over the next two years. Macquarie believes current spot iron ore prices pose significant upside risk to earnings and dividend estimates.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ASX Share Market News

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares given buy ratings this week offering 20% to 40% upside

Morgans expects these shares to deliver big returns.

Read more »

A woman's hand draws a stylised 'Top Ten' on a projected surface.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a sour end to the trading week for investors this Friday.

Read more »

Person on a tablet with buy and sell options for a stock on the screen.
Opinions

Xero shares have crashed 64%. Here's why I'm buying

Xero shares have plunged, but I'm seeing a buying opportunity.

Read more »

Red arrow going down on a stock market chart, with share prices in red.
ASX Share Market News

ASX 200 sinks to June lows as investors brace for another RBA rate hike

The ASX 200 is heading towards the weekend on a sour note.

Read more »

Drone flying in the sky.
Share Gainers

EOS shares jump 7% as ASX 200 falls. Could $15 be next?

Could this ASX defence stock have much further to run?

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares UBS says could increase 13% to 37%

These shares are primed for a rise, the broker says.

Read more »

two cute young boys dressed in business suits sit amid a pile of papers with a calculator and adding machine looking very happy for themselves.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: BOQ, Harvey Norman, Lynas shares

Here’s what brokers forecast for these three ASX shares over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Three people jumping cheerfully in clear sunny weather.
Broker Notes

5 ASX 200 shares upgraded by experts this week

Brokers have increased their ratings on AMP, Evolution, Wesfarmers, and other stocks. 

Read more »