Afterpay & Zip shares: Brokers react to Apple and PayPal BNPL news

It has been a big week for the BNPL market

| More on:
hand restin g on laptop computer keyboard with stock prices on screen

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The big news this week that is rocking the Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price and the Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price is that Apple is reportedly planning to enter the buy now pay later (BNPL) market.

Over the last two trading sessions, these two BNPL shares have lost 11.5% and 16% of their value, respectively. That's over $4 billion collectively wiped from their market capitalisations in less than 48 hours.

Why is Apple entering the BNPL market?

According to Bloomberg, Apple is interested in entering the BNPL market to help drive Apple Pay adoption and convince more iPhone users to pay for items using their phone instead of traditional debit or credit cards.

As Apple receives a slice of transactions made with Apple Pay, if the tech behemoth can achieve this, it would be another boost for its US$50 billion per year services business.

The new Apple Pay Later service is understood to have two options for consumers to choose from when paying in store and online. These are known internally as Apple Pay in 4 and Apple Pay Monthly Instalments.

As the name implies, Apple Pay in 4 will allow consumers to pay across four interest-free payments made every two weeks. Whereas Apple Pay Monthly Instalments will allow users to pay across several months with interest. Investment bank Goldman Sachs is reportedly the lender for the instalment loans.

Also weighing on the Afterpay share price and Zip share price yesterday was news that PayPal is removing late fees for its BNPL service. Competition certainly is heating up in the space!

How did brokers react?

Analysts at Macquarie were quick to react to the news of intensifying competition in the BNPL market.

In response, the broker has retained its outperform rating on Afterpay's shares but trimmed its price target down by 7% to $130.00. This compares to the current Afterpay share price of $104.79. The broker suspects there will be a period of industry consolidation before a stronger outlook emerges.

Over at Citi, its analysts believe the bigger threat to Afterpay and Zip comes from PayPal. Though, it sees Afterpay as better positioned to fend off the increasing competition.

It commented: "We continue to see a future state where the ability to Pay-in-4 will become a commodity, and see the key to success for Afterpay and Zip being their ability to be more than a payment option and own the consumer's shopping experience."

It feels Afterpay's strong consumer engagement and usage levels are key to its success in the market. And with the Afterpay share price faring a bit better over the last couple of days, it appears as though the market agrees.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO, Apple, PayPal Holdings, and ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2022 $75 calls on PayPal Holdings, long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple, and short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Apple and PayPal Holdings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on BNPL shares

A young woman looks happily at her phone in one hand with a selection of retail shopping bags in her other hand.
BNPL shares

Up 179% since April, why it's not too late to buy Zip shares for 2026

A leading fund manager forecasts more outperformance from Zip shares in 2026.

Read more »

BNPL written on a smartphone.
BNPL shares

3 reasons why Zip shares are a screaming buy right now

The company's share price has been pretty volatile this year.

Read more »

A young woman smiles as she rides a zip line high above the trees.
BNPL shares

Why did Zip shares rebound 19% this week?

FY26 has been volatile for this ASX BNPL stock.

Read more »

Happy woman in purple clothes looking at asx share price on mobile phone
BNPL shares

Zip share price plunges 30% in a month but fundie tips 'meaningful upside' ahead

After 110% share price growth in FY25, Zip shares have failed to maintain the momentum in FY26.

Read more »

People sit in rollercoaster seats with expressions of fear, terror and exhilaration as it goes into a steep downward descent representing the Novonix share price in FY22
BNPL shares

$10,000 invested in Zip shares in January is now worth…

Zip shares have had a rollercoaster of a ride over the past 12 months.

Read more »

Stock market crash concept of young man screaming at laptop on the sofa.
BNPL shares

Why is the Block share price crashing 14% on Friday?

Investors are punishing Block shares on Friday. But why?

Read more »

a young woman holds her hand to her ear and leans sideways as if to listen to something that's surprising her as her eyes and her mouth are wide open.
Financial Shares

Why are Zip shares down 23% in a month, and what was revealed at the AGM today?

The buy now, pay later operator conducted its annual general meeting on Thursday.

Read more »

Upset woman with her hand on her forehead, holding a credit card.
BNPL shares

Why did Zip shares tumble 12% in October?

After surging more than 300% since April, why did Zip shares tumble in October?

Read more »