AGL (ASX:AGL) share price slumps after demerger, guidance update

AGL shares start today's session in the red after two major announcements this morning.

| More on:
Female power plant worker looks at switchboard

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

AGL Energy Ltd (ASX: AGL) share price has sunk 4.5% in morning trade, despite announcing that it expects earnings for FY21 to remain within previously provided ranges.

The earnings announcement accompanied the company's confirmation today of its intent to demerge and create 2 separate ASX listings.

The company also updated its earnings outlook for FY22, indicating it expects a downturn in forward earnings estimates.

What did AGL say?

For FY21, the company expects earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to lie within the lower half of the previous range of $1.58 billion to $1.84 billion.

AGL also sees underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) at the middle of the $500 million to $580 million range previously outlined to the market.

Of this NPAT figure, approximately $90 million is comprised of insurance proceeds relating to an outage at the Loy Yang A power station in 2019, consistent with AGL's previous guidance on this matter.

According to the announcement from AGL this morning, a further $25 million of NPAT "includes a net benefit from a change in accounting policy that reduces historically capitalised costs relating to software as a service".

What about AGL's dividend?

In the earnings update AGL also announced it will be terminating its special dividend program. According to the release, AGL "no longer intends to pay out an additional 25% of Underlying Profit after tax for the FY21 final dividend or in FY22".

The decision behind the cut was to "preserve approximately $400 million to $500 million in cash within AGL Energy prior to execution of the demerger."

Moreover, the company also indicated its intention underwrite the company's dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) during the demerger planning period.

The DRIP underwriting program will enable shareholders to "elect either to receive a cash dividend or
participate in the DRIP by subscribing to receive AGL Energy shares in lieu of cash payment" AGL said.

What about FY22?

With respect to the coming financial year, AGL expects "material step-down in earnings as a result of the lower wholesale electricity prices of the last 2 years now being realised."

The company did not provide any specific range for FY22 in this morning's announcement.

AGL will be holding a conference call this morning to discuss the earnings update in addition to the demerger.

AGL share price snapshot

At the time of writing, AGL has a market capitalisation of $5.6 billion and trades at a price-to-earnings-ratio (P/E) of 7.05.

AGL shares are 3% in the red over the past 5 days, however are 8% up over the past 1 month.

The AGL share price is 27% down so far this year.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Want to build up passive income? These 2 ASX dividend shares are a buy!

These stocks are giving investors exciting payouts every year.

Read more »

Man on a ladder drawing an increasing line on a chalk board symbolising a rising share price.
Growth Shares

2 ASX shares to buy and hold for the next decade

These businesses have a lot of growth potential ahead…

Read more »

Three satisfied miners with their arms crossed looking at the camera proudly
Materials Shares

ASX 200 materials sector outperforms as mining shares continue their ascent

Plenty of ASX 200 mining shares hit multi-year highs last week amid continually rising commodity values.

Read more »

A group of people push and shove through the doors of a store, trying to beat the crowd.
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares highly recommended to buy: Experts

Are these two stocks the best buys on the ASX?

Read more »

Smiling couple sitting on a couch with laptops fist pump each other.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 55%

Brokers have good things to say about these shares.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

I'd buy 5,883 shares of this ASX stock to aim for $1,000 of annual passive income

I’d pick this stock for its strong dividend record.

Read more »

A player pounces on the ball in the scoring zone of the field.
Best Shares

4 ASX 300 shares that ripped 100% or more in 2025

The S&P/ASX 300 Index rose 7.17% and delivered a total return, including dividends, of 10.66% in 2025.

Read more »

A little girl is about to launch down the slide with a blue sky and white clouds in the sky behind her.
Broker Notes

BHP vs. Fortescue shares: Goldman Sachs says 1 will rip and 1 will dip

Top broker Goldman Sachs upgraded its 12-month share price forecasts for BHP and Fortescue shares this week.

Read more »