AGL (ASX:AGL) share price slumps after demerger, guidance update

AGL shares start today's session in the red after two major announcements this morning.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

AGL Energy Ltd (ASX: AGL) share price has sunk 4.5% in morning trade, despite announcing that it expects earnings for FY21 to remain within previously provided ranges.

The earnings announcement accompanied the company's confirmation today of its intent to demerge and create 2 separate ASX listings.

The company also updated its earnings outlook for FY22, indicating it expects a downturn in forward earnings estimates.

Female power plant worker looks at switchboard

Image source: Getty Images

What did AGL say?

For FY21, the company expects earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to lie within the lower half of the previous range of $1.58 billion to $1.84 billion.

AGL also sees underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) at the middle of the $500 million to $580 million range previously outlined to the market.

Of this NPAT figure, approximately $90 million is comprised of insurance proceeds relating to an outage at the Loy Yang A power station in 2019, consistent with AGL's previous guidance on this matter.

According to the announcement from AGL this morning, a further $25 million of NPAT "includes a net benefit from a change in accounting policy that reduces historically capitalised costs relating to software as a service".

What about AGL's dividend?

In the earnings update AGL also announced it will be terminating its special dividend program. According to the release, AGL "no longer intends to pay out an additional 25% of Underlying Profit after tax for the FY21 final dividend or in FY22".

The decision behind the cut was to "preserve approximately $400 million to $500 million in cash within AGL Energy prior to execution of the demerger."

Moreover, the company also indicated its intention underwrite the company's dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) during the demerger planning period.

The DRIP underwriting program will enable shareholders to "elect either to receive a cash dividend or
participate in the DRIP by subscribing to receive AGL Energy shares in lieu of cash payment" AGL said.

What about FY22?

With respect to the coming financial year, AGL expects "material step-down in earnings as a result of the lower wholesale electricity prices of the last 2 years now being realised."

The company did not provide any specific range for FY22 in this morning's announcement.

AGL will be holding a conference call this morning to discuss the earnings update in addition to the demerger.

AGL share price snapshot

At the time of writing, AGL has a market capitalisation of $5.6 billion and trades at a price-to-earnings-ratio (P/E) of 7.05.

AGL shares are 3% in the red over the past 5 days, however are 8% up over the past 1 month.

The AGL share price is 27% down so far this year.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

Comical investor reading documents and surrounded by calculators.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares newly upgraded this week

As the Iran war and fuel crisis continues, some ASX 200 shares have attracted upgrades from the experts.

Read more »

A smiling woman puts fuel into her car at a petrol pump.
Broker Notes

Up 60% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Ampol shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Ampol’s surging shares. But why?

Read more »

A man sits on a bench atop a mountain with a laptop, making investments with a green ESG mind.
52-Week Highs

Are these ASX stocks hitting 52-week highs a buy, hold, or sell?

Can these market winners keep rallying?

Read more »

A female superhero dressed in shiny green with a mask leaps in the sky with leg and arm outstretched in a leaping action.
Share Gainers

WiseTech shares rocket 11% higher today: Buy, sell or hold?

It looks like we could see a lot more out of WiseTech shares over the next few months!

Read more »

A beautiful ocean vista is shown with a woman whose back is to the camera holding her arms up in triumph as she stands at the top of a rock feeling thrilled that ASX 200 shares are reaching multi-year high prices today
52-Week Highs

3 ASX 200 titans charging to new one-year-plus highs today

Investors just sent these three ASX 200 titans surging to new 52-week-plus highs. But why?

Read more »

Smiling worker in metal landfill.
Broker Notes

Up 45% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Sims shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Sims' soaring share price. But why?

Read more »

A young African mine worker is standing with a smile in front of a large haul dump truck wearing his personal protective wear.
Record Highs

Why the PLS share price just hit an all-time high

PLS shares hit a record high after upsizing US debt notes.

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names more of the best ASX shares to buy in April

The broker has good things to say about the shares this month.

Read more »