Why shares of Novavax crashed 37.7% in May

Delays frustrated investors.

| More on:
disappointed and sad woman

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

What happened

Shares of coronavirus vaccine maker Novavax (NASDAQ: NVAX) tanked by 37.7% in May, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The collapse was a result of the company's repeated delays with the manufacturing of its coronavirus vaccine as well as its announcement that it won't file for the candidate's regulatory approval before the third quarter.

So what

The combination of delays with regulatory filings and manufacturing delays means that Novavax won't be able to deliver its contractually obligated doses to the European Union before 2022. In short, certain raw materials needed for the vaccine are in scant supply. Furthermore, the company will be even further behind other vaccine makers like Pfizer and Moderna, which are already on the market and in wide distribution.

In the long run, however, these issues probably won't harm the company's revenue making potential. Even amid the delays, Novavax is still signing new sales agreements with groups like the Gavi Vaccine Alliance, which agreed to buy 350 million doses of its vaccine on May 6. Likewise, Novavax still has commitments to make more than 1.1 billion doses in conjunction with its manufacturing collaborators. So, while May's losses might be frustrating, they probably don't reflect much genuine destruction of shareholder value. It's likely that the stock will rebound once sales revenue starts to be reflected in earnings reports.

Now what

While investors are unlikely to have much patience for further delays, Novavax is still proceeding with its plans to commercialize its coronavirus vaccine globally, and it will almost certainly continue to succeed in doing so. Notably, in early May it also reported that its candidate is effective against at least one viral variant, which should keep it competitive with the currently marketed vaccines. But shareholders will need to wait a bit longer before the full impact of the revenue is reflected in the company's quarterly earnings reports.

Beyond that, the company is also pursuing its combination vaccine project, which could inoculate people against both influenza and the coronavirus in a single jab. On May 10, it published preliminary evidence from preclinical studies that suggests the combination vaccine could be effective.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Alex Carchidi has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Moderna Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on International Stock News

International Stock News

Meet the monster stock that continues to crush the market

Has this e-commerce and cloud tech giant found the formula to maintain a brisk rate of growth for years to…

Read more »

Hands holding out two apples representing choice between different shares
International Stock News

Mark Zuckerberg may be right about Apple's lack of innovation. But here's why that shouldn't matter to investors.

Apple may not be the exciting growth stock it was years ago, but could the key to its long-term success…

Read more »

Man looking at digital holograms of graphs, charts, and data.
International Stock News

Could Nvidia stock be due for a crash in 2025? Here's what history says

Investors are divided over whether the Nvidia party will continue or if this semiconductor stock is overvalued and set to…

Read more »

Three people jumping cheerfully in clear sunny weather.
International Stock News

The best Warren Buffett stocks to buy with $10,000 in 2025

Here are three stocks legendary investor Warren Buffett owns at Berkshire Hathaway.

Read more »

A man looks surprised as a woman whispers in his ear.
International Stock News

Nvidia stock investors just got fantastic artificial intelligence (AI) news from President Trump

President Trump announced Stargate, a $500 billion artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure project.

Read more »

Family jumps up and cheers while watching TV.
International Stock News

Nvidia just became the world's most valuable company. Is it too late to buy the stock?

Project Stargate could be just the beginning.

Read more »

a man and a woman in historical costume, Henry the eitghth era, post for a selfie with the man holding a phone above their heads while the two pose with serious faces as seen in historical portraits of people.
International Stock News

President Donald Trump just made stock market history — and it's an ominous warning for investors

Stocks soared during Trump's first term in the White House, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite respectively…

Read more »

man happy while driving tesla
International Stock News

Is the Tesla share price a buy for 2025?

Tesla enters 2025 with strong stock-trading momentum, but can it keep it up?

Read more »